Move language News

Aave V3 Launches on Aptos with $70 Billion TVL, Chainlink Feeds and Liquidity Rewards

7 months ago

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

45%chance

21071877945

OptionVotes

YES

4797

3929

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

10.06%chance

826508702

OptionVotes

YES

57414

10596

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.41%chance

347106067

OptionVotes

YES

2179

459

Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030?

Feb 11, 6:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

95.85%chance

416066

OptionVotes

YES

2538

835

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

YES

1928

630

In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PhysBench leaderboard?

Jul 4, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM

131949

OptionProbability

2027-2028

2025-2026

2029-2030

2039-2040

2031-2032

2033-2034

2035-2036

2037-2038

Will I conclude my life is better 1 year from now than it was at time of market creation?

Aug 21, 2:43 PMAug 21, 2:39 PM

64.72%chance

221452

OptionVotes

YES

1354

738

Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026?

Mar 10, 1:58 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

96.72%chance

6590

OptionVotes

YES

543

Will the Catala legal programming language still be maintained in 2030?

Sep 18, 8:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

18.74%chance

14367

OptionVotes

YES

1149

947

Will trump sign the release of UFOs files

Mar 3, 8:28 PMApr 9, 11:59 PM

55%chance

5215

OptionVotes

YES

111

Will OpenAI announce AGI before 2028 conditional on it centrally being an LLM?

Sep 16, 11:34 PMAug 1, 10:59 PM

47.56%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

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Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030?

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PhysBench leaderboard?

Will I conclude my life is better 1 year from now than it was at time of market creation?

Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026?

Will the Catala legal programming language still be maintained in 2030?

Will trump sign the release of UFOs files

Will OpenAI announce AGI before 2028 conditional on it centrally being an LLM?

Latest stories

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