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Top stories

Aave V3 Launches on Aptos with $70 Billion TVL, Chainlink Feeds and Liquidity Rewards

Aave V3 Launches on Aptos with $70 Billion TVL, Chainlink Feeds and Liquidity Rewards

Authors

9

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Move language

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

41.1%chance

21661928569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5194

3628

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.86%chance

831515860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

58238

10505

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.44%chance

372118125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2435

411

Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030?

Feb 11, 6:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

95.85%chance

416066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2538

835

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PhysBench leaderboard?

Jul 4, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM

131949

OptionProbability

2027-2028

2025-2026

2029-2030

2039-2040

2031-2032

2033-2034

2035-2036

2037-2038

44

30

27

27

26

26

26

26

Will I conclude my life is better 1 year from now than it was at time of market creation?

Aug 21, 2:43 PMAug 21, 2:39 PM

66.35%chance

221502

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1404

712

Humans have consciousness [Convince the Machine #3]

May 3, 12:21 PMMay 10, 12:21 PM

98.03%chance

291453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

525

189

Will the Catala legal programming language still be maintained in 2030?

Sep 18, 8:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

18.74%chance

14367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

947

LLMs understand language [Convince the Machine #4]

May 3, 12:35 PMMay 10, 12:35 PM

55%chance

20337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

48

Am I worthy of moral consideration [Convince the Machine #5]

May 4, 5:43 AMMay 18, 5:43 AM

44.43%chance

17237

OptionVotes

NO

YES

635

553

Will OpenAI announce AGI before 2028 conditional on it centrally being an LLM?

Sep 16, 11:34 PMAug 1, 10:59 PM

47.56%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

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Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
DeFi
Blockchains
Crypto
Aave V3 Launches on Aptos with $70 Billion TVL, Chainlink Feeds and Liquidity Rewards
Authors
9
9 months ago

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