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Top stories

Aave V3 Launches on Aptos with $70 Billion TVL, Chainlink Feeds and Liquidity Rewards

Aave V3 Launches on Aptos with $70 Billion TVL, Chainlink Feeds and Liquidity Rewards

Authors

9

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Move language

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

45.63%chance

21942002791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4736

3979

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.7%chance

835518679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

58873

10436

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.5%chance

401135725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3088

324

Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030?

Feb 11, 6:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

95.65%chance

416172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2432

839

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PhysBench leaderboard?

Jul 4, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM

131949

OptionProbability

2027-2028

2025-2026

2029-2030

2039-2040

2031-2032

2033-2034

2035-2036

2037-2038

44

30

27

27

26

26

26

26

Will I conclude my life is better 1 year from now than it was at time of market creation?

Aug 21, 2:43 PMAug 21, 2:39 PM

68.45%chance

241548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1473

679

Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026?

Mar 10, 1:58 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

97.64%chance

6690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

643

16

Will the Catala legal programming language still be maintained in 2030?

Sep 18, 8:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.59%chance

15583

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

668

Will OpenAI announce AGI before 2028 conditional on it centrally being an LLM?

Sep 16, 11:34 PMAug 1, 10:59 PM

37.78%chance

3310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

779

AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035

Aug 1, 4:22 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

43.39%chance

146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

97

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Aug 1, 4:22 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

46.18%chance

16

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

95

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Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
DeFi
Blockchains
Crypto
Aave V3 Launches on Aptos with $70 Billion TVL, Chainlink Feeds and Liquidity Rewards
Authors
9
1 year ago

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