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Prediction markets for Muslims
If Marine Le Pen wins the 2027 French election will more that 5% of French muslims leave within three years?
Oct 19, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.31%chance
68254
OptionVotes
1074
992
Will non-Muslims be required to pay jizya in any EU country by the end of 2050?
Apr 8, 3:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
22.07%chance
212701
OptionVotes
350
101
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized for at least non-Muslims in any Muslim-majority country before 2030?
Jul 1, 11:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
57.42%chance
392375
OptionVotes
1090
868
Will a Muslim Majority Country Lose Its Majority Before 2040?
May 3, 11:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.01%chance
211621
OptionVotes
1305
766
Will any big western EU or UK city (as of 2023) have more than 50% Muslim population by 2050?
Sep 10, 12:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
61.9%chance
231205
OptionVotes
1148
893
OptionVotes
1697
843
Will the United States have a Muslim president by end of 2040?
Feb 26, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
8.75%chance
15778
OptionVotes
1401
905
OptionVotes
282
36
Will the religions authorities of at least 100m Muslims accept that lab grown pork can be okay to eat?
Feb 26, 2:01 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
20.63%chance
8214
OptionVotes
322
140
Will the prohibition of Muslim abayas in French schools be revoked before 2030?
Sep 6, 10:41 AMJan 13, 9:59 PM
27.84%chance
8147
OptionVotes
198
59
How many Muslim MPs will be elected in the next UK general election?
Jul 16, 7:59 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM
242
OptionProbability
70
54
50
46
34
28
OptionProbability
23
20
11
11
11
11
11
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