Nature News

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.66%chance

249175608

OptionProbability

YES

4766

4764

If ASI is achieved and doesn't wipe out humanity, will natural death be cured within 5 years?

Feb 27, 5:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.09%chance

629496

OptionVotes

YES

1241

812

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Jan 8, 2:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

268762

OptionProbability

Never or after 1/1/2030

1/1/2028-12/31/2028

1/1/2029-12/31/2029

1/1/2027-12/31/2027

1/1/2026-12/31/2026

Before 2026

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

49.98%chance

218159

OptionVotes

YES

10346

9625

Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.

Nov 7, 1:55 AMJan 20, 5:59 AM

82.94%chance

507277

OptionVotes

YES

2205

454

Will Vladimir Putin die of natural causes?

Jun 28, 5:44 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

65.36%chance

1153038

OptionVotes

YES

1548

1527

Is the nature of AI risk completely misunderstood today with respect to the state of the art in 2030?

Sep 4, 2:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.88%chance

251969

OptionVotes

YES

1667

397

Will enhanced prosthetics be developed that lead to people voluntarily 'upgrading' their natural limbs by EOY 2040?🦾🦿

Jan 16, 11:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

36.34%chance

25641

OptionVotes

YES

997

986

Will the world reach peak natural gas production by 2035?

Feb 21, 8:58 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

53.53%chance

13638

OptionVotes

YES

1081

913

Will there be a non-natural origin theory for the next pandemic?

Dec 25, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.87%chance

21620

OptionVotes

YES

1044

842

Scientists or influencers outside China have been paid by the CCP to advocate for a natural origin of Covid 19.

Oct 1, 11:05 PMOct 9, 3:59 AM

62.31%chance

13532

OptionVotes

YES

1286

778

Is supersymmetry realized in nature?

Aug 31, 4:32 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

22.11%chance

16510

OptionVotes

YES

1195

901

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Morocco
Archeology
Science
Moroccan Jurassic Ankylosaur Sported Metre-Long Rib Spikes, Nature Study Shows
Authors
15
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Bio
Health
Pharma
University of Florida Develops mRNA Cancer Vaccine Showing Tumor Elimination, Long-Lasting Immunity Amid $500 Million Funding Cuts
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Climate
Science
Environment
Nature Study Says Antarctic Ice Decline Nears Irreversible Tipping Point
Authors
16
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Space
Physics
Science
Astronomers Capture Rare View of Supernova 2021yfj’s Exposed Silicon Core
Authors
24
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Bio
Health
Science
Nature Study Links SARS-CoV-2 and Influenza to Dormant Cancer Cell Reactivation, Highlights mRNA Vaccine Immune Effects
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Economics
Business
World
Nature Warns Global Fertility Slump Could Upend Economies by 2050
Authors
4
1 year ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Nature News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Nature

Prediction markets for Nature

Prediction markets for Nature

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

If ASI is achieved and doesn't wipe out humanity, will natural death be cured within 5 years?

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.

Will Vladimir Putin die of natural causes?

Is the nature of AI risk completely misunderstood today with respect to the state of the art in 2030?

Will enhanced prosthetics be developed that lead to people voluntarily 'upgrading' their natural limbs by EOY 2040?🦾🦿

Will the world reach peak natural gas production by 2035?

Will there be a non-natural origin theory for the next pandemic?

Scientists or influencers outside China have been paid by the CCP to advocate for a natural origin of Covid 19.

Is supersymmetry realized in nature?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram