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Prediction markets for Nature Climate Change
OptionVotes
18977
4594
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.52%chance
3826421
OptionVotes
1294
776
OptionVotes
2481
806
Will a terrestrial natural disaster not caused by anthropogenic climate change wipe out humanity by 2100?
Jun 26, 5:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
3%chance
101356
OptionVotes
766
127
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
Sep 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
23.07%chance
271296
OptionVotes
1313
876
OptionVotes
182
164
OptionProbability
89
87
87
86
84
76
59
50
45
35
34
3
OptionProbability
76
63
62
54
38
36
22
Will thick-billed parrots be breeding in the wild in the US by 2040.
Sep 24, 3:04 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
59.02%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62
OptionVotes
104
96
OptionVotes
104
77


