Nature Sustainability News

Tourist Surge Leaves Antarctic Snow 10-Times Dirtier, Study Finds

1 year ago

Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?

Oct 29, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.08%chance

441459

OptionVotes

YES

1793

711

Will circular economy become mainstream in 20 years?

Jan 2, 2:41 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

39.24%chance

81370

OptionVotes

YES

204

163

Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?

Apr 21, 1:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.42%chance

271318

OptionVotes

YES

532

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.57%chance

311019

OptionVotes

YES

377

Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.59%chance

12834

OptionVotes

YES

1661

602

When will global population peak?

May 6, 10:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4703

OptionProbability

2071 or after

2065-2070

2060-2064

2055-2059

2050-2054

2040-2044

2045-2049

2034 or before

2035-2039

Will there be a medical intervention that reliably alters Big 5 personality traits for willing participants before 2030?

Jan 11, 10:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.88%chance

14379

OptionVotes

YES

150

Wild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?

Jul 8, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.53%chance

11257

OptionVotes

YES

259

In what year will AI achieve 90% of progress in TextQuests benchmark?

Aug 9, 12:49 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

270

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

2025

Will Andrew G York win the Dickson Prize in Science?

May 22, 2:06 AMJan 1, 3:05 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

Apr 13, 6:10 PM

230

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Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Climate
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Tourist Surge Leaves Antarctic Snow 10-Times Dirtier, Study Finds
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1 year ago

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Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?

Will circular economy become mainstream in 20 years?

Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?

When will global population peak?

Will there be a medical intervention that reliably alters Big 5 personality traits for willing participants before 2030?

Wild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?

In what year will AI achieve 90% of progress in TextQuests benchmark?

Will Andrew G York win the Dickson Prize in Science?

Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

Latest stories

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