Nature Sustainability News

Tourist Surge Leaves Antarctic Snow 10-Times Dirtier, Study Finds

6 months ago

Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?

Oct 29, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.08%chance

441459

OptionVotes

YES

1793

711

Will circular economy become mainstream in 20 years?

Jan 2, 2:41 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

39.24%chance

81370

OptionVotes

YES

204

163

Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.74%chance

8545

OptionVotes

YES

1401

714

Will there be a medical intervention that reliably alters Big 5 personality traits for willing participants before 2030?

Jan 11, 10:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.88%chance

14379

OptionVotes

YES

150

Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?

Oct 12, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

56.42%chance

15376

OptionVotes

YES

114

Will Iranian protest successfully over Ali Khamenei's term before 1st march

Jan 14, 11:34 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

13.17%chance

7178

OptionVotes

YES

257

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20.73%chance

6149

OptionVotes

YES

196

Wild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?

Jul 8, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.37%chance

10139

OptionVotes

YES

159

In what year will AI achieve 90% of progress in TextQuests benchmark?

Aug 9, 12:49 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

270

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

2025

Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

Apr 13, 6:10 PM

230

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Tourist Surge Leaves Antarctic Snow 10-Times Dirtier, Study Finds
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6 months ago

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Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?

Will circular economy become mainstream in 20 years?

Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?

Will there be a medical intervention that reliably alters Big 5 personality traits for willing participants before 2030?

Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?

Will Iranian protest successfully over Ali Khamenei's term before 1st march

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Wild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?

In what year will AI achieve 90% of progress in TextQuests benchmark?

Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

Latest stories

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Telegram