Nature Sustainability News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Nature Sustainability
Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?
Oct 29, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
84.08%chance
441459
OptionVotes
1793
711
OptionVotes
204
163
Will there be a medical intervention that reliably alters Big 5 personality traits for willing participants before 2030?
Jan 11, 10:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
30.88%chance
14379
OptionVotes
150
67
Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?
Aug 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.74%chance
6284
OptionVotes
1258
795
LNG import/export terminal destroyed for any reason before 2026.
Oct 1, 3:11 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
44%chance
12171
OptionVotes
1006
993
Wild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?
Jul 8, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.14%chance
9129
OptionVotes
145
69
In what year will AI achieve 90% of progress in TextQuests benchmark?
Aug 9, 12:49 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM
270
OptionProbability
31
12
12
12
12
12
10
Latest stories
Latest stories