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Prediction markets for Neuralink
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
Jan 21, 2:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
75.48%chance
18391468
OptionVotes
1890
239
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.89%chance
26333107
OptionVotes
2999
2076
Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?
Jan 21, 2:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
63.44%chance
9415035
OptionVotes
1669
470
Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
Mar 21, 4:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
64.01%chance
652875
OptionVotes
1516
485
Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?
Sep 26, 9:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
86.09%chance
131999
OptionVotes
2316
198
Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?
Mar 21, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
78.85%chance
18992
OptionVotes
1018
634
Will monkey and human communicate via Neuralink before 2030?
Jul 28, 8:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.97%chance
15837
OptionVotes
1316
879
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
Apr 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24.86%chance
28693
OptionVotes
2160
1924
Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?
Jan 10, 1:12 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
24.9%chance
18659
OptionVotes
1035
977
Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?
Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.61%chance
17461
OptionVotes
1173
596
OptionVotes
1104
959
100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027
Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
45.77%chance
5121
OptionVotes
1089
919
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