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Top stories

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Backs Merge Labs to Challenge Elon Musk’s Neuralink, Twitter and Tesla

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Backs Merge Labs to Challenge Elon Musk’s Neuralink, Twitter and Tesla

Authors

11

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Neuralink

Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?

Jan 21, 2:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.41%chance

18391646

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1713

308

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.37%chance

26533167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3059

2057

Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?

Jan 21, 2:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.28%chance

9515065

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1619

500

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.44%chance

213540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

971

Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?

Mar 21, 4:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.01%chance

652875

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1516

485

Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?

Sep 26, 9:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.09%chance

131999

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2316

198

Will Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?

Feb 2, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.71%chance

181656

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

809

Human Controls Tesla Bot Humanoid Robot Via Neuralink by 2030

Mar 26, 6:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.61%chance

241276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1757

568

Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?

Mar 21, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.89%chance

191017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

548

Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?

Jan 10, 1:12 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

24.9%chance

18659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

977

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027

Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.77%chance

5121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

919

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Startups
Business
Tech
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Backs Merge Labs to Challenge Elon Musk’s Neuralink, Twitter and Tesla
Authors
11
6 months ago

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