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Prediction markets for Neuralink
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
Jan 21, 2:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
65%chance
18491682
OptionVotes
1640
344
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.54%chance
26633173
OptionVotes
3040
2063
Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?
Jan 21, 2:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60%chance
9516044
OptionVotes
1591
518
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.89%chance
253805
OptionVotes
1088
922
Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
Mar 21, 4:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
62.94%chance
652900
OptionVotes
1491
500
Human Controls Tesla Bot Humanoid Robot Via Neuralink by 2030
Mar 26, 6:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
72.61%chance
241276
OptionVotes
1757
568
Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?
Mar 21, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
75.49%chance
191027
OptionVotes
1047
538
Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?
Jan 10, 1:12 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
23.73%chance
19709
OptionVotes
1085
961
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
Apr 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24.89%chance
29694
OptionVotes
2157
1925
Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?
Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.61%chance
17461
OptionVotes
1173
596
OptionVotes
1104
959
100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027
Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
45.77%chance
6221
OptionVotes
1089
919