OptionProbability
NO
YES
Other
Only YES and NO are the main outcomes. All other options would not affect the main YES or NO outcomes.
94
2
1
Any policies that in line of requirement for all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age
Change how caseworkers, inspectors, teachers, social workers handle things within existing law
A rent freeze in rent-stabilized housing
Raise corporate tax
Creating the Department of Community Safety
Free city buses
Commit 0.5% of NYC's budget to libraries
Raise income tax
At least two grocery stores operated by the city government
Free childcare in NYC
Appoint a Mom-and-Pop Czar
Pass a law for a $30 minimum wage by 2030
92
81
79
78
75
69
61
56
16
OptionVotes
4502
453
None
Kazakhstan
Azerbaijan
Saudi Arabia
Armenia
Indonesia
Syria
Qatar
Lebanon
74
28
24
14
10
6
5
3
Have been born after the first plane was hijacked on 9/11
Be a President or other kind of non-royal, non-coup Head of State
Be a man (cis or trans)
Take office on or before 2034-03-29 (ten years from market creation)
Be a Prime Minister, meaning a head of government, not head of state, most often elected by the legislature
Be considered broadly left-wing in their country
Be a monarch or a monarch's representative/regent
Have been married
Have been in custody
Rule a country that's in the bottom 10% by area
Rule an African country
Rule a country with same-sex marriage
Rule a country that's not a UN member as of market creation
Not rule by heredity, and be related to someone who is or was also a state leader during their lifetime
Come to power as the result of a coup
Be out as LGBTQIA+
Have used a prediction market
84
71
67
57
54
52
50
47
46
43
38
29
25
21
9
100
116
70
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