OptionProbability
NO
Other
YES
Only YES and NO are the main outcomes. All other options would not affect the main YES or NO outcomes.
97
2
1
Any policies that in line of requirement for all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age
Change how caseworkers, inspectors, teachers, social workers handle things within existing law
A rent freeze in rent-stabilized housing
Creating the Department of Community Safety
Free childcare in NYC
Raise corporate tax
Commit 0.5% of NYC's budget to libraries
Raise income tax
At least two grocery stores operated by the city government
Appoint a Mom-and-Pop Czar
Free city buses
Pass a law for a $30 minimum wage by 2030
91
89
78
77
75
72
67
56
52
33
Have been born after the first plane was hijacked on 9/11
Be a President or other kind of non-royal, non-coup Head of State
Be a man (cis or trans)
Take office on or before 2034-03-29 (ten years from market creation)
Be a Prime Minister, meaning a head of government, not head of state, most often elected by the legislature
Be considered broadly left-wing in their country
Be a monarch or a monarch's representative/regent
Have been married
Have been in custody
Rule a country that's in the bottom 10% by area
Rule an African country
Rule a country with same-sex marriage
Rule a country that's not a UN member as of market creation
Not rule by heredity, and be related to someone who is or was also a state leader during their lifetime
Come to power as the result of a coup
Be out as LGBTQIA+
Have used a prediction market
84
70
57
54
50
47
43
38
26
25
24
21
9
0–1
3
4 +
30
7
6
new member joins
current member leaves
16
OptionVotes
102
98
116
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