Nobel News

Armenia and Azerbaijan Lead Eight-Nation Push to Nominate Trump for 2025 Nobel Peace Prize

1 year ago

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3%chance

131109535

OptionVotes

YES

9681

419

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Jul 28, 10:19 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

2.86%chance

10434210

OptionVotes

YES

11424

837

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Mar 20, 10:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.09%chance

12625292

OptionVotes

YES

1006

608

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Jan 26, 12:54 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28%chance

11212224

OptionVotes

YES

1678

1533

Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?

Jan 20, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.33%chance

2510737

OptionVotes

YES

9684

509

Robin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?

Oct 10, 7:10 AMDec 31, 8:10 AM

17.3%chance

257609

OptionVotes

YES

2186

457

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Dec 12, 7:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.44%chance

403995

OptionVotes

YES

1251

477

Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?

Nov 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.36%chance

322372

OptionVotes

YES

1695

870

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

48.2%chance

331946

OptionVotes

YES

1207

669

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Dec 22, 7:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.77%chance

331303

OptionVotes

YES

1078

938

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Mar 9, 4:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.86%chance

24662

OptionVotes

YES

1164

737

Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

Oct 8, 10:08 PMJan 13, 6:59 AM

26.4%chance

19439

OptionVotes

YES

1133

932

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Politics
Armenia and Azerbaijan Lead Eight-Nation Push to Nominate Trump for 2025 Nobel Peace Prize
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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Nobel

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?

Robin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

Latest stories

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