Nobel News

Armenia and Azerbaijan Lead Eight-Nation Push to Nominate Trump for 2025 Nobel Peace Prize

3 months ago

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Nov 18, 4:29 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

66260292

OptionVotes

YES

300070

33326

Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)

Aug 16, 3:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

95.11%chance

291156992

OptionVotes

YES

4411

227

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.65%chance

11085214

OptionVotes

YES

4156

767

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Mar 20, 10:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.08%chance

11122153

OptionVotes

YES

988

745

Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

May 30, 6:32 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

16.9%chance

5914618

OptionVotes

YES

976

226

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Jan 26, 12:54 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.09%chance

11111401

OptionVotes

YES

1616

1558

Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?

Oct 11, 5:11 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

384973

OptionProbability

No peace, no Nobel

Peace but no Nobel

Peace and Nobel

No peace, Nobel anyway

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Dec 12, 7:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.44%chance

403995

OptionVotes

YES

1251

477

Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?

Nov 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.36%chance

322372

OptionVotes

YES

1695

870

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

46.98%chance

331926

OptionVotes

YES

1187

691

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Dec 22, 7:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.77%chance

331303

OptionVotes

YES

1428

1288

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Mar 9, 4:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.86%chance

24662

OptionVotes

YES

1164

737

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Politics
Armenia and Azerbaijan Lead Eight-Nation Push to Nominate Trump for 2025 Nobel Peace Prize
Authors
10
3 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Nobel News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Nobel

Prediction markets for Nobel

Prediction markets for Nobel

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram