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Nobel Peace News

Bangladesh Warns It Can No Longer Sustain 1.3 Million Rohingya Refugees

Bangladesh Warns It Can No Longer Sustain 1.3 Million Rohingya Refugees

12

10 months ago

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Nov 18, 4:29 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

3.39%chance

4751493368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

533861

18757

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.23%chance

127100813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6196

577

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Jan 29, 6:49 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

3.45%chance

5640914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5294

189

🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 12, 3:28 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

6113514

OptionProbability

Other

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms

Pope Leo XIV

UNRWA

Minnesota (or the People of Minnesota)

MSF / Doctors without Borders

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Yulia Navalnaya

Netanyahu

International Court of Justice

Greta Thunberg

Nathan Law

Narges Mohammadi

duplicate - international Court of Justice

UNESCO

Philippe Lazzarini

Joe Biden

Alexei Navalny

Kyaw Moe Tun

José Andrés

World Uyghur Congress

Maria Corina Machado

Eliezer Yudkowsky

OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

Timnit Gebru

Elon Musk

NATO

Donald Trump

JD Vance

AOC

Antonio Guterres

Julian Assange

David Attenborough

Pope Francis

Ursula von der Leyen

Keir Starmer

European Union

Ilham Tohti

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Jacinda Ardern

Raoni Metuktire

José Andrés

Loujain al-Hathloul

Ilwad Elman

Wa Lone

Narendra Modi

Yvonne Ridley

Hajer Sharief

Alexis Tsipras

Isaias Afwerki

Agnes Chow

Filippo Grandi

Yuan Longping

Mahbouba Seraj

Victoria Tauli-Corpuz

Juan Carlos Jintiach

Joshua Wong

Ernest Moniz

DOGE

Kamala Harris

Noam Chomsky

International Fact-Checking Network

Manifold Markets

Justin Trudeau

Vladimir Putin

Aleksandr Lukashenko

Sam Altman

Bill Gates / Gates Foundation

Kim Jong Un

Abdullah Öcalan

Daniel Sheehan

Robert Kennedy Jr

@Krantz

Gustavo Petro

The Iranian protesters

Peacekeepers

Jimmy Lai

Francesca Albanese

Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue

Haitham bin Tariq Al Said

Any Kurdish person (or the Kurdish people

Shehbaz Sharif

34

15

12

9

9

5

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?

Oct 9, 1:14 PMOct 31, 10:59 PM

4.44%chance

2810903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4642

216

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?

May 7, 8:19 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

6.84%chance

404348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1193

957

Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?

Jan 20, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.28%chance

193674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4107

1066

Will Greta Thunberg receive the Nobel peace prize before she dies?

Oct 30, 5:33 PMNov 7, 4:59 AM

11.86%chance

253119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1360

908

Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Sep 17, 6:27 PMMar 24, 3:59 AM

2.74%chance

313064

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2214

888

Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?

Nov 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.36%chance

322372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1695

870

Will the people of Minneapolis win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

Feb 4, 3:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.37%chance

111372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

993

What will be the next year the Nobel Peace Prize is not awarded?

Sep 19, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6448

OptionProbability

Other

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2025

83

4

4

4

2

2

1

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Aug 25, 2025
Bangladesh
Myanmar
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Bangladesh Warns It Can No Longer Sustain 1.3 Million Rohingya Refugees
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12
10 months ago

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