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Prediction markets for Normal People
OptionVotes
1501
1343
Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?
Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
85.26%chance
11730920
OptionVotes
2407
416
OptionVotes
6304
5865
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?
Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
95.93%chance
10423743
OptionVotes
9935
742
OptionVotes
986
980
OptionVotes
1275
784
US legislature (House or Senate) fails to swear in / seat an elected member after midterms
Feb 7, 8:33 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM
30.01%chance
122419
OptionVotes
1527
655
OptionVotes
1063
959
Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?
Feb 18, 9:18 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
48.66%chance
33632
OptionVotes
1033
960
100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027
Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
39.46%chance
7371
OptionVotes
1239
807
General health benefits from cold showers, accepted by 2040?
Apr 14, 11:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
50.27%chance
15274
OptionVotes
1004
994
Will a study be done comparing blood/tissue microplastics lvls of frequent coffee drinkers vs "normal people" by EOY2027
Sep 14, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
76.14%chance
280
OptionVotes
179
56
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