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Prediction markets for NUKE
OptionVotes
4303
1779
OptionVotes
1079
653
Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
Mar 20, 11:27 PMJan 1, 12:26 AM
14.52%chance
84076
OptionVotes
874
389
OptionVotes
1382
945
OptionVotes
659
338
Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
Mar 20, 11:07 PMJan 1, 12:04 AM
26.9%chance
123047
OptionVotes
602
443
OptionVotes
2024
911
Will a nuke be used offensively before the end of the year ?
Jan 15, 7:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.4%chance
161693
OptionVotes
382
26
END TIMES! new amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse by mid 2027
Jan 2, 5:31 PMJun 30, 9:59 PM
27.31%chance
91326
OptionVotes
1631
613
USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down in 2026
Jan 1, 4:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.68%chance
71157
OptionVotes
2020
495
OptionProbability
25
17
15
9
8
8
7
6
4
2
USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down by 2030
Jan 1, 4:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
51.02%chance
4354
OptionVotes
1021
980
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