Optimus News

SpaceX Starship Flight 10 Launch Scrubbed During Live Stream on 66-Foot Screens at Tesla Diner Featuring Optimus Robot and Chris G.

10 months ago

ARK Invest Sees Tesla Robotaxi Business as 90% of Value with Vision-Only AI; $10 Trillion Market and $34 Trillion Potential

10 months ago

Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy

Automobile

Robotics

AI Modeling

Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy

10 months ago

Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?

Oct 13, 9:55 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

3.61%chance

10330907

OptionVotes

YES

5169

194

Will an Optimus robot walk on Mars before a human?

May 11, 2:15 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

71.25%chance

518376

OptionVotes

YES

1679

338

In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot

Jan 8, 12:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

387859

OptionProbability

Other

>2030

2026

2024

2025

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.43%chance

186643

OptionVotes

YES

6337

158

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2027?

Mar 16, 5:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.42%chance

186463

OptionVotes

YES

3819

262

Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?

Oct 5, 8:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

394669

OptionVotes

YES

1301

580

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Jan 16, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10%chance

193534

OptionVotes

YES

2734

514

Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾

May 23, 2:42 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.06%chance

212342

OptionVotes

YES

1745

782

Will robots (think Tesla’s Optimus) replace retail workers by 2030?

Jan 19, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.12%chance

22979

OptionVotes

YES

1413

883

Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035?

Aug 9, 2:54 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

62.32%chance

14829

OptionVotes

YES

129

Will Optimus robot be able to change a tire on a Tesla car before 2028 ?

Mar 4, 10:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.39%chance

9522

OptionVotes

YES

145

100

When will Tesla have Optimus walking around in retail stores?

Dec 27, 8:44 PMJan 4, 7:59 AM

9315

OptionProbability

Never

2027

2026

2028

2029

2030

2025

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Aug 25, 2025
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SpaceX Starship Flight 10 Launch Scrubbed During Live Stream on 66-Foot Screens at Tesla Diner Featuring Optimus Robot and Chris G.
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10 months ago
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Automobile
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Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy
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Prediction markets for Optimus

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Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?

Will an Optimus robot walk on Mars before a human?

In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2027?

Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾

Will robots (think Tesla’s Optimus) replace retail workers by 2030?

Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035?

Will Optimus robot be able to change a tire on a Tesla car before 2028 ?

When will Tesla have Optimus walking around in retail stores?

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Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?