Optimus News

SpaceX Starship Flight 10 Launch Scrubbed During Live Stream on 66-Foot Screens at Tesla Diner Featuring Optimus Robot and Chris G.

1 year ago

ARK Invest Sees Tesla Robotaxi Business as 90% of Value with Vision-Only AI; $10 Trillion Market and $34 Trillion Potential

1 year ago

Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy

Automobile

Robotics

AI Modeling

Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy

1 year ago

Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?

Oct 13, 9:55 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

4.5%chance

13042340

OptionVotes

YES

4640

237

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1.42%chance

188643

OptionVotes

YES

8337

120

Will an Optimus robot walk on Mars before a human?

May 11, 2:15 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

71.25%chance

518376

OptionVotes

YES

1679

338

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2027?

Mar 16, 5:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.26%chance

196513

OptionVotes

YES

3869

258

Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?

Oct 5, 8:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

394669

OptionVotes

YES

1301

580

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Jan 16, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.14%chance

244625

OptionVotes

YES

3813

422

Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾

May 23, 2:42 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

20.46%chance

253275

OptionVotes

YES

1418

854

How much would the Tesla Optimus Robot cost to buy if it went into production?

Dec 24, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

361766

OptionProbability

40k - 100k

25k - 40k

>100k

<=25k

Will robots (think Tesla’s Optimus) replace retail workers by 2030?

Jan 19, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.12%chance

22979

OptionVotes

YES

1413

883

(Musk Prediction) Will Optimus Be the World's Best Surgeon Within 3 years?

Mar 30, 2:34 AMMar 30, 2:32 AM

12.16%chance

9336

OptionVotes

YES

269

When will Tesla have Optimus walking around in retail stores?

Dec 27, 8:44 PMJan 4, 7:59 AM

9315

OptionProbability

Never

2027

2026

2028

2029

2030

2025

Will Tesla sell Optimus robots to the public by the end of 2027?

Jan 22, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.29%chance

10128

OptionVotes

YES

105

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SpaceX Starship Flight 10 Launch Scrubbed During Live Stream on 66-Foot Screens at Tesla Diner Featuring Optimus Robot and Chris G.
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Prediction markets for Optimus

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Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?

Will an Optimus robot walk on Mars before a human?

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2027?

Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾

How much would the Tesla Optimus Robot cost to buy if it went into production?

Will robots (think Tesla’s Optimus) replace retail workers by 2030?

(Musk Prediction) Will Optimus Be the World's Best Surgeon Within 3 years?

When will Tesla have Optimus walking around in retail stores?

Will Tesla sell Optimus robots to the public by the end of 2027?

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Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?