Optimus News

SpaceX Starship Flight 10 Launch Scrubbed During Live Stream on 66-Foot Screens at Tesla Diner Featuring Optimus Robot and Chris G.

3 months ago

ARK Invest Sees Tesla Robotaxi Business as 90% of Value with Vision-Only AI; $10 Trillion Market and $34 Trillion Potential

4 months ago

Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy

Automobile

Robotics

AI Modeling

Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy

3 months ago

Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?

Jun 16, 9:26 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

1.99%chance

16284603

OptionVotes

YES

7015

143

Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?

Oct 13, 9:55 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

18.01%chance

7714560

OptionVotes

YES

2134

469

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2025?

Jan 16, 5:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.23%chance

1210092

OptionVotes

YES

10863

512

Will an Optimus robot walk on Mars before a human?

May 11, 2:15 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

72.16%chance

508366

OptionVotes

YES

1705

328

Will Optimus be used on the Optimus assembly line before the end of 2025?

Nov 23, 6:53 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

4.69%chance

226236

OptionVotes

YES

4509

222

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2027?

Mar 16, 5:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.71%chance

175422

OptionVotes

YES

3460

289

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.43%chance

144953

OptionVotes

YES

4647

215

In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot

Jan 8, 12:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

284360

OptionProbability

Other

2026

>2030

2025

2024

Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?

Oct 5, 8:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37%chance

362967

OptionVotes

YES

1462

468

Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾

May 23, 2:42 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.06%chance

212342

OptionVotes

YES

1745

782

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Jan 16, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.07%chance

141548

OptionVotes

YES

2142

593

Will robots (think Tesla’s Optimus) replace retail workers by 2030?

Jan 19, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.79%chance

20679

OptionVotes

YES

1113

950

Latest stories

Aug 25, 2025
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SpaceX Starship Flight 10 Launch Scrubbed During Live Stream on 66-Foot Screens at Tesla Diner Featuring Optimus Robot and Chris G.
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3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Automobile
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Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy
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Prediction markets for Optimus

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Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?

Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2025?

Will an Optimus robot walk on Mars before a human?

Will Optimus be used on the Optimus assembly line before the end of 2025?

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2027?

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?

In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot

Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?

Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Will robots (think Tesla’s Optimus) replace retail workers by 2030?

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Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2025?

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?