Optimus News

SpaceX Starship Flight 10 Launch Scrubbed During Live Stream on 66-Foot Screens at Tesla Diner Featuring Optimus Robot and Chris G.

1 year ago

ARK Invest Sees Tesla Robotaxi Business as 90% of Value with Vision-Only AI; $10 Trillion Market and $34 Trillion Potential

1 year ago

Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy

Automobile

Robotics

AI Modeling

Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy

1 year ago

Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?

Oct 13, 9:55 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

3.61%chance

10330907

OptionVotes

YES

5169

194

Will an Optimus robot walk on Mars before a human?

May 11, 2:15 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

71.25%chance

518376

OptionVotes

YES

1679

338

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.43%chance

186643

OptionVotes

YES

6337

158

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2027?

Mar 16, 5:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.42%chance

186463

OptionVotes

YES

3819

262

Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?

Oct 5, 8:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

394669

OptionVotes

YES

1301

580

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Jan 16, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.98%chance

203537

OptionVotes

YES

2737

513

What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built?

Sep 26, 1:58 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

192346

OptionProbability

2030+

2028

2024-2027

2029

Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾

May 23, 2:42 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.06%chance

212342

OptionVotes

YES

1745

782

Will robots (think Tesla’s Optimus) replace retail workers by 2030?

Jan 19, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.12%chance

22979

OptionVotes

YES

1413

883

Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035?

Aug 9, 2:54 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

62.32%chance

14829

OptionVotes

YES

129

Will Optimus generate more revenue than cars for Tesla at any point before 2030?

Sep 25, 12:05 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

16%chance

11453

OptionVotes

YES

377

124

(Musk Prediction) Will Optimus Be the World's Best Surgeon Within 3 years?

Mar 30, 2:34 AMMar 30, 2:32 AM

12.16%chance

9336

OptionVotes

YES

269

Latest stories

Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Robotics
Space
Tech
SpaceX Starship Flight 10 Launch Scrubbed During Live Stream on 66-Foot Screens at Tesla Diner Featuring Optimus Robot and Chris G.
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Automobile
Robotics
AI Modeling
Musk Defends Camera-Only Autonomy After Uber CEO Questions Tesla Strategy
Authors
8
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
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Stocks
Robotics
AI Products
ARK Invest Sees Tesla Robotaxi Business as 90% of Value with Vision-Only AI; $10 Trillion Market and $34 Trillion Potential
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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Optimus

Prediction markets for Optimus

Prediction markets for Optimus

Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?

Will an Optimus robot walk on Mars before a human?

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?

Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2027?

Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?

What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built?

Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾

Will robots (think Tesla’s Optimus) replace retail workers by 2030?

Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035?

Will Optimus generate more revenue than cars for Tesla at any point before 2030?

(Musk Prediction) Will Optimus Be the World's Best Surgeon Within 3 years?

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Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?