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Prediction markets for Outperform
AI outperforms humans in all mathematical research areas by 2028?
Jul 17, 3:17 PMJul 18, 3:59 AM
66.35%chance
21981828
OptionVotes
3059
786
OptionVotes
1438
179
OptionVotes
13729
7284
Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?
Jul 20, 9:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
54.29%chance
149293
OptionVotes
12637
6684
Will the Democrats Outperform their 2018 Midterm Results? [Win more than 235 seats in 2026]
Mar 14, 5:51 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM
46%chance
398880
OptionVotes
1083
923
AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions
May 1, 12:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
28.85%chance
241283
OptionVotes
1055
960
Will I outperform the market by individually picking/trading stocks?
Jul 30, 5:35 PMSep 1, 11:00 PM
53.26%chance
181014
OptionVotes
1068
937
EU defense stocks vs South Korea defense stocks: EUAD ETF outperforms KDEF ETF in total return by end of 2029
Mar 10, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
44.39%chance
6801
OptionVotes
1119
893
When will self-improving AI outperform human-developed AI?
Mar 2, 10:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
50.22%chance
20593
OptionProbability
1033
962
If intelligent aliens visit us, will AI-based technologies outperform analog linguistics in translating their language?
Mar 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
69.65%chance
13186
OptionVotes
1037
977
OptionVotes
1150
870
Will Intel outperform Samsung if China invades Taiwan in 2026?
Dec 21, 6:46 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
49.75%chance
227
OptionVotes
1005
995
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