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Top stories

U.S. Boycotts UN Summit on Two-State Roadmap for Israel and Palestinians

US Foreign Policy

U.S. Boycotts UN Summit on Two-State Roadmap for Israel and Palestinians

Authors

12

4 days ago

B'Tselem and Physicians for Human Rights Israel Accuse Israel of Genocide in Gaza for First Time Amid 22-Month Offensive

B'Tselem and Physicians for Human Rights Israel Accuse Israel of Genocide in Gaza for First Time Amid 22-Month Offensive

Authors

20

5 days ago

Israeli Settler Kills Palestinian Consultant for Oscar-Winning Film in West Bank

Israeli Settler Kills Palestinian Consultant for Oscar-Winning Film in West Bank

Authors

12

4 days ago

Israel’s Saar Rejects Any Post-War Gaza Role for Hamas

Authors

4

5 days ago

Slovenia First EU Country to Ban Far-Right Israeli Ministers Ben-Gvir and Smotrich, Declares Persona Non Grata and Imposes Arms Embargo

Authors

40

16 days ago

Brown University’s Omer Bartov Calls Israel’s 21-Month Gaza War Genocide in New York Times Op-Ed

Authors

15

17 days ago

France-Saudi Co-Hosted UN Conference on Israel-Palestinian Two-State Solution Rescheduled for July 28-29 After Israel-Iran Conflict

Authors

37

22 days ago

Israeli Reservist from Division 252 Admits Arbitrary Killing of Palestinian Civilians in Gaza’s Netzarim Corridor

Authors

17

26 days ago

Prediction markets for Palestinians

[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

Jan 3, 12:22 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

8.07%chance

10942667

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3032

604

Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?

Oct 22, 5:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.36%chance

5619635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1222

571

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

27.33%chance

695805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

2205

Will the Palestinian population of the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2030 be less than 1.5 million?

Jan 26, 10:04 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

42.64%chance

264150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

862

Will a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?

Jan 30, 10:03 PMJan 20, 6:59 PM

13.87%chance

272894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2191

100

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

Apr 18, 2:44 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

14.42%chance

311958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

838

Net sympathy for Israelis vs Palestinians, 2026?

Mar 7, 12:00 AMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

71595

OptionProbability

+4% or lower

+5% - +9%

+10% - +14%

+15% - +19%

+20% - +24%

+25% - +29%

+30% - +34%

+35% or higher

25

25

20

10

7

5

5

4

Will any European country formally recognize a Palestinian state between June and December 2025?

Jun 6, 12:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.32%chance

161572

OptionVotes

NO

YES

511

20

Will UNRWA continue to operate in the Palestinian territories (Gaza or West Bank) by EOY 2025?

Feb 25, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.06%chance

211297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1336

816

Will a unified and inclusive state replace the State of Israel and the Palestinian Territories by May 14, 2048?

Jan 2, 4:11 AMMay 14, 10:00 PM

4.82%chance

121141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1895

886

Palestinians resettled en masse to Iran during Trump's term?

Jun 17, 7:37 PMDec 31, 8:36 PM

5.24%chance

10704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

425

24

Will the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?

Jun 5, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.67%chance

6315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

770

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