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Prediction markets for Parkinson
WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036
Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
9.14%chance
421858
OptionVotes
31528
3172
Will Joe Biden ever be formally diagnosed with Parkinson's?
Jul 8, 6:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.58%chance
206213
OptionVotes
2764
362
Biological test for early detection of Parkinson's Disease by 2028
Apr 18, 3:55 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
95.04%chance
153212
OptionVotes
3578
649
OptionVotes
570
82
Will the FDA approve a disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease before 2029?
Apr 24, 9:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
57.64%chance
11292
OptionVotes
167
135
Will Bing diagnose Parkinson's disease in the EU on May 1 2035?
Mar 8, 5:41 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM
91.1%chance
5268
OptionVotes
289
33
Will Bing diagnose Parkinson's disease in California on May 1 2035?
Mar 8, 5:41 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM
79.43%chance
6235
OptionVotes
121
115
Will there be an FDA approved cure for Parkinson's Disease by EOY 2032?
Mar 10, 6:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.12%chance
7113
OptionVotes
262
219
Will there be a treatment to stop Parkinson's progression in at least 10% of US patients by mid 2028
Feb 4, 5:00 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
18.29%chance
390
OptionVotes
191
71
Dr Tass, Parkinson's researcher, will be forced to leave Stanford
Aug 16, 11:03 PMJan 1, 8:00 PM
36.81%chance
361
OptionVotes
96
47
A Nobel prize in medicine award statement mentions Parkinson's disease before 2037
May 1, 6:03 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
53.77%chance
440
OptionVotes
91
89
Will "Parkinson's Heuristic: The Only Time To Do An..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Jun 14, 3:20 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
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