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Prediction markets for Party of One
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Mar 25, 1:59 PMAug 8, 1:30 PM
11528472
OptionProbability
66
48
31
24
22
18
16
16
10
9
9
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination?
Sep 11, 7:17 PMSep 11, 7:13 PM
23718112
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
90
77
47
37
34
32
28
28
24
24
22
22
20
18
18
17
17
16
15
15
15
15
14
14
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
7
7
6
5
5
5
1
0
0
0
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries?
Mar 25, 2:30 PMAug 8, 1:30 PM
12416132
OptionProbability
72
27
23
23
14
13
12
12
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
4
3
What will the Party distribution of the next 2 US presidential terms be? (2029-2037) [> 6k Liquidity]
Jul 29, 11:48 AMMay 31, 9:59 PM
148511
OptionProbability
26
25
22
17
3
3
1
1
1
1
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Jul 12, 5:20 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM
324911
OptionProbability
100
39
29
25
24
15
14
14
12
9
How will the 🇬🇧 Liberal Democrats and Green Party co-operate before the next General Election?
Feb 28, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71216
OptionProbability
45
43
17
5
Will there a 3rd party candidate win at least one state in the US presidential election before the US adds a 51st state
Mar 31, 9:31 PMDec 8, 4:59 AM
24.21%chance
9351
OptionVotes
331
189
Will India officially become a One party country/nation before the end of 2030? (Similar to China's political system)
Jan 24, 4:57 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
14.71%chance
7338
OptionVotes
222
65
How many female British PMs will be Tories before another party elects one?
Apr 22, 1:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
9280
OptionProbability
84
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
What would be the odds for the following people to win the 2028 US election if nominated by one of the two main parties?
Mar 11, 4:40 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM
7117
OptionProbability
67
61
60
57
56
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
41
30
Will at least one country besides South Korea enact Sending Party Network Pays (SPNP) laws/taxes before Jan 1st 2030?
Dec 6, 11:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
72.6%chance
875
OptionVotes
228
139
Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?
Mar 27, 3:20 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM
52.05%chance
561
OptionVotes
126
91
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