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Prediction markets for Pew
Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?
Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM
31%chance
1819062
OptionVotes
1492
670
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM
19.29%chance
555029
OptionVotes
2015
243
AI More Important as a Voting Topic Than Abortion? (2028 US Presidential)
Dec 22, 6:04 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM
76.07%chance
214640
OptionVotes
1783
561
More than 70% of U.S. population believe Trump is too old to be president by EOY 2026
Jan 22, 8:36 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM
31.55%chance
303232
OptionVotes
1473
679
At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?
Apr 4, 5:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
62.61%chance
361949
OptionVotes
989
982
Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?
Aug 28, 10:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11.66%chance
241443
OptionVotes
1414
896
Will at least 25% of US retail investors report using an AI agent for an investment-related task by the end of 2027?
May 11, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
74.09%chance
4790
OptionVotes
1691
591
OptionVotes
168
60
OptionProbability
115
101
OptionProbability
46
22
16
12
5
In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?
Feb 12, 2:05 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM
71.97%chance
598
OptionVotes
125
96
Before 2030, will > 75% of Americans be more concerned than excited about AI?
May 26, 12:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.25%chance
213
OptionVotes
110
91
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