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Top stories

Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China

Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China

Authors

12

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Pod

Will Lex Friedman host a podcast from space before the end of 2027?

Jan 16, 11:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6%chance

6713418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3958

253

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?

Mar 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.7%chance

588634

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2579

176

Will the podcast “Dear Hank and John” be renamed “Dear John and Hank” in 2028?

Jun 23, 3:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

89.45%chance

62807

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2912

343

Will we get in the pod and eat the bugs?

Sep 14, 5:02 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.2%chance

332567

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1197

355

Will Leopold Aschenbrenner go on a podcast by EOY 2026?

Sep 20, 8:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.83%chance

8620

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

673

Will any current NATO head of state start a podcast and release at least 5 episodes before 2030?

Sep 11, 3:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.42%chance

10164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

210

130

Will the Podfic version of Animorphs: The Reckoning finish by January 1st, 2028?

Aug 14, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.77%chance

1135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

882

Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?

Oct 9, 12:53 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

490

OptionProbability

Other

Millennium

Citadel

Point72

Balyasny

None

53

10

10

10

10

8

Focus Group Podcast on AI by EOY 2026

Jan 11, 4:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.46%chance

271

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

952

What will be the MAX yield produced by my bell peppers 🫑 ?

May 30, 6:13 PMMay 30, 8:59 PM

657

OptionProbability

3 pods

4 pods

5 pods

1 pod

2 pods

28

20

20

19

13

Will "The inaugural Redwood Research podcast" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 7, 2:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Pod Save America appear on Q + A with Jack Tame?

Jan 21, 8:49 AMMar 1, 8:47 AM

30.35%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

100

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
VC
AI Products
AI Fundraising
Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China
Authors
12
6 months ago

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