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Prediction markets for Pod
Will any of @Mira 's pets appear on the Dwarkesh Podcast by end of 2025?
Sep 18, 3:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
2.4%chance
3163256
OptionVotes
71080
2433
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?
Mar 13, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
61.65%chance
11828616
OptionVotes
2470
1592
OptionVotes
25942
6512
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?
Mar 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
65%chance
394283
OptionVotes
1142
995
OptionVotes
1122
492
Will Ross Ulbricht Be On The Joe Rogan Podcast Within 1 Year Of Release From Prison?
Jan 22, 1:00 PMJan 22, 4:40 AM
81.46%chance
171803
OptionVotes
2096
477
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?
Oct 9, 12:53 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
490
OptionProbability
53
10
10
10
10
8
OptionProbability
28
20
20
19
13
Most of the microplastic comes from tires and industrial sources. Which will first be targeted by ban legislation?
Aug 23, 7:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
353
OptionProbability
17
16
13
13
13
13
13
4
Will the Podfic version of Animorphs: The Reckoning finish by January 1st, 2028?
Aug 14, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
47.73%chance
148
OptionVotes
1046
956
Will Birthing Pod be unbanned in Modern by the end of 2025?
Oct 19, 4:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
4.63%chance
26
OptionVotes
71
44
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