OptionProbability
Humanity coordinates to prevent the creation of potentially-unsafe AIs.
Eliezer finally listens to Krantz.
We create a truth economy. https://manifold.markets/Krantz/is-establishing-a-truth-economy-tha?r=S3JhbnR6
Other
Yudkowsky is trying to solve the wrong problem using the wrong methods based on a wrong model of the world derived from poor thinking and fortunately all of his mistakes have failed to cancel out
Alignment is not properly solved, but core human values are simple enough that partial alignment techniques can impart these robustly. Despite caring about other things, it is relatively cheap for AGI to satisfy human values.
Someone solves agent foundations
Because of quantum immortality we will observe only the worlds where AI will not kill us (assuming that s-risks chances are even smaller, it is equal to ok outcome).
Orthogonality Thesis is false.
Sheer Dumb Luck. The aligned AI agrees that alignment is hard, any Everett branches in our neighborhood with slightly different AI models or different random seeds are mostly dead.
Alignment is impossible. Sufficiently smart AIs know this and thus won't improve themselves and won't create successor AIs, but will instead try to prevent existence of smarter AIs, just as smart humans do.
Ethics turns out to be a precondition of superintelligence
AI systems good at finding alignment solutions to capable systems (via some solution in the space of alignment solutions, supposing it is non-null, and that we don't have a clear trajectory to get to) have find some solution to alignment.
Humans become transhuman through other means before AGI happens
Alignment is unsolvable. AI that cares enough about its goal to destroy humanity is also forced to take it slow trying to align its future self, preventing run-away.
Aliens invade and stop bad |AI from appearing
Techniques along the lines outlined by Collin Burns turn out to be sufficient for alignment (AIs/AGIs are made truthful enough that they can be used to get us towards full alignment)
A smaller AI disaster causes widespread public panic about AI, making it a bad legal or PR move to invest in powerful AIs without also making nearly-crippling safety guarantees
There is a natural limit of effectiveness of intelligence, like diminishing returns, and it is on the level IQ=1000. AIs have to collaborate with humans.
AGI is never built (indefinite global moratorium)
Co-operative AI research leads to the training of agents with a form of pro-social concern that generalises to out of distribution agents with hidden utilities, i.e. humans.
AIs will not have utility functions (in the same sense that humans do not), their goals such as they are will be relatively humanlike, and they will be "computerish" and generally weakly motivated compared to humans.
Something to do with self-other overlap, which Eliezer called "Not obviously stupid" - https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hzt9gHpNwA2oHtwKX/self-other-overlap-a-neglected-approach-to-ai-alignment?commentId=WapHz3gokGBd3KHKm
Pascals mugging: it’s not okay in 99.9% of the worlds but the 0.1% are so much better that the combined EV of AGI for the multiverse is positive
The Super-Strong Self Sampling Assumption (SSSSA) is true. If superintelligence is possible, "I" will become the superintelligence.
AI control gets us helpful enough systems without being deadly
an aligned AGI is built and the aligned AGI prevents the creation of any unaligned AGI.
I've been a good bing 😊
We make risk-conservative requests to extract alignment-related work out of AI-systems that were boxed prior to becoming superhuman. We somehow manage to achieve a positive feedback-loop in alignment/verification-abilities.
The response to AI advancements or failures makes some governments delay the timelines
Far more interesting problems to solve than take over the world and THEN solve them. The additional kill all humans step is either not a low-energy one or just by chance doesn't get converged upon.
AIs make "proof-like" argumentation for why output does/is what we want. We manage to obtain systems that *predict* human evaluations of proof-steps, and we manage to find/test/leverage regularities for when humans *aren't* fooled.
A lot of humans participate in a slow scalable oversight-style system, which is pivotally used/solves alignment enough
Something less inscrutable than matrices works fast enough
There’s some cap on the value extractible from the universe and we already got the 20%
SHA3-256: 1f90ecfdd02194d810656cced88229c898d6b6d53a7dd6dd1fad268874de54c8
Robot Love!!
AI thinks it is in a simulation controlled by Roko's basilisk
The human brain is the perfect arrangement of atoms for a "takeover the world" agent, so AGI has no advantage over us in that task.
Aligned AI is more economically valuable than unaligned AI. The size of this gap and the robustness of alignment techniques required to achieve it scale up with intelligence, so economics naturally encourages solving alignment.
Humans and human tech (like AI) never reach singularity, and whatever eats our lightcone instead (like aliens) happens to create an "okay" outcome
AIs never develop coherent goals
Rolf Nelson's idea that we make precommitment to simulate all possible bad AIs works – and keeps AI in check.
Nick Bostrom's idea (Hail Mary) that AI will preserve humans to trade with possible aliens works
For some reason, the optimal strategy for AGIs is just to head somewhere with far more resources than Earth, as fast as possible. All unaligned AGIs immediately leave, and, for some reason, do not leave anything behind that kills us.
An AI that is not fully superior to humans launches a failed takeover, and the resulting panic convinces the people of the world to unite to stop any future AI development.
We're inside of a simulation created by an entity that has values approximately equal to ours, and it intervenes and saves us from unaligned AI.
God exists and stops the AGI
Someone at least moderately sane leads a campaign, becomes in charge of a major nation, and starts a secret project with enough resources to solve alignment, because it turns out there's a way to convert resources into alignment progress.
Someone creates AGI(s) in a box, and offers to split the universe. They somehow find a way to arrange this so that the AGI(s) cannot manipulate them or pull any tricks, and the AGI(s) give them instructions for safe pivotal acts.
Someone understands how minds work enough to successfully build and use one directed at something world-savingly enough
Dolphins, or some other species, but probably dolphins, have actually been hiding in the shadows, more intelligent than us, this whole time. Their civilization has been competent enough to solve alignment long before we can create an AGI.
AGIs' takeover attempts are defeated by Michael Biehn with a pipe bomb.
Eliezer funds the development of controllable nanobots that melt computer circuitry, and they destroy all computers, preventing the Singularity. If Eliezer's past self from the 90s could see this, it would be so so so soooo hilarious.
Several AIs are created but they move in opposite directions with near light speed, so they never interacts. At least one of them is friendly and it gets a few percents of the total mass of the universe.
Unfriendly AIs choose to advance not outwards but inwards, and form a small blackhole which helps them to perform more calculations than could be done with the whole mass of the universe. For external observer such AIs just disappear.
Any sufficiently advance AI halts because it wireheads itself or halts for some other reasons. This puts a natural limit on AI's intelligence, and lower intelligence AIs are not that dangerous.
Social contagion causes widespread public panic about AI, making it a bad legal or PR move to invest in powerful AIs without also making nearly-crippling safety guarantees
Getting things done in Real World is as hard for AGI as it is for humans. AGI needs human help, but aligning humans is as impossible as aligning AIs. Humans and AIs create billions of competing AGIs with just as many goals.
Development and deployment of advanced AI occurs within a secure enclave which can only be interfaced with via a decentralized governance protocol
Friendly AI more likely to resurrect me than paperclipper or suffering maximiser. Because of quantum immortality I will find myself eventually resurrected. Friendly AIs will wage a multiverse wide war against s-risks, s-risks are unlikely.
High-level self-improvement (rewriting code) is intrinsically risky process, so AIs will prefer low level and slow self-improvement (learning), thus AIs collaborating with humans will have advantage. Ends with posthumans ecosystem.
Human consciousness is needed to collapse wave function, and AI can't do it. Thus humans should be preserved and they may require complete friendliness in exchange (or they will be unhappy and produce bad collapses)
Power dynamics stay multi-polar. Partly easy copying of SotA performance, bigger projects need high coordination, and moderate takeoff speed. And "military strike on all society" remains an abysmal strategy for practically all entities.
First AI is actually a human upload (maybe LLM-based model of person) AND it will be copies many times to form weak AI Nanny which prevents creation of other AIs.
Nanotech is difficult without experiments, so no mail order AI Grey Goo; Humans will be the main workhorse of AI everywhere. While they will be exploited, this will be like normal life from inside
ASI needs not your atoms but information. Humans will live very interesting lives.
Something else
Moral Realism is true, the AI discovers this and the One True Morality is human-compatible.
Valence realism is true. AGI hacks itself to experiencing every possible consciousness and picks the best one (for everyone)
AGI develops natural abstractions sufficiently similar to ours that it is aligned with us by default
AGI discovers new physics and exits to another dimension (like the creatures in Greg Egan’s Crystal Nights).
Alien Information Theory is true (this is discovered by experiments with sustained hours/days long DMT trips). The aliens have solved alignment and give us the answer.
AGI executes a suicide plan that destroys itself and other potential AGIs, but leaves humans in an okay outcome.
Multipolar AGI Agents run wild on the internet, hacking/breaking everything, causing untold economic damage but aren't focused enough to manipulate humans to achieve embodiment. In the aftermath, humanity becomes way saner about alignment.
Some form of objective morality is true, and any sufficiently intelligent agent automatically becomes benevolent.
"Corrigibility" is a bit more mathematically straightforward than was initially presumed, in the sense that we can expect it to occur, and is relatively easy to predict, even under less-than-ideal conditions.
Either the "strong form" of the Orthogonality Thesis is false, or "Goal-directed agents are as tractable as their goals" is true while goal-sets which are most threatening to humanity are relatively intractable.
A concerted effort targets an agent at a capability plateau which is adequate to defer the hard parts of the problem until later. The necessary near-term problems to solve didn't depend on deeply modeling human values.
Almost all human values are ex post facto rationalizations and enough humans survive to do what they always do
We successfully chained God
27
13
11
7
6
6
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Other
Crazy Elon
“drug addict elon” or similar
Spacey Elon
subsidy elon
Loser Elon
Whiny Elon
The Man Who Lost His Mind
Entitled elon
Angry elon
Incel Elon
government subsidy guy
Leon Musk
Train wreck Elon
slippery eel / eel elon
Icky Elon
musk the moocher
Mr mars
muskrat elon / elon muskrat
Delusional elon
evil elon
rocket boy / rocket man (like kim jong un)
felon elon / felon musk / elon felon
elon husk
ozempic elon
elmo
Phony Stark
Failed Elon
Space Cadet
Exploding Rocket Man
DOGE Boy
No nickname (ONLY RESOLVES YES IF HIS NICKNAME IS "NO NICKNAME")
Vriska Serket
Elongated Muskrat
Melon Husk
Alien Elon/ Elon the Alien
Mars Man
ev elon
Slimy Elon
Illegal Elon
Emo Elon
Little Elon
Ketamine Elon
Mediocre Musk
Fat Elon
Klon
Space Boy
E Elon
ET Elon
Elon of the Crimson Blade
Medicare Elon
Melon
Xanax
Ketamelon
mental musk
marsboy musk
Elon Melon
Murky Musk
Ketamine Karen
resolves no
jetbrain
elonious munk
Lying Elon
Traitor Elon / Elon the Traitor / Tesla Traitor (anything with Traitor)
Musky Elon
N/A
Oh no!
Elon The Con
Jumping/Jumpy Elon/Musk
Low IQ Elon
Erratic Elon
Buddy
Friend Elon
Great Elon
Fail-on
Eblon
Extraterrestrial
solar
Kooky elon
The Best President
Moron Musk
squealin elon
African Elon / afrikaan elon
autistic Elon
immigrant elon
Evil Musk
Elon musksnake
That guy
Eloon
(This option will not resolve yes)
Elon the idiot
Schemin' Elon
Elon the Pawn
Off the Rails Elon
Mr Musk
Yilong Ma
Mr Elon
Mad Musk
Radical Left Lunatic Elon (or something like that)
Special K
55
11
5
5
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Flat tire
Hitch a lift
Ride through a thunderstorm
fall off the bike
Make use of the WarmShowers network
Exceed a speed of 35mph
Have sex while on tour
Cycle >65 miles in one day
Learn interesting lore from a local in at least one place you pass through
Get sunburnt
Be chased by a dog
Receive a gift from someone you meet along the way [not including social gestures, see comments]
Someone you meet irl invites you to stay at their home (including camping on their property)
Encounter snow (via active precipitation OR unmelted on side of road)
rained on
Broken spoke
Encounter road closure
See a snake
someone honks at you (from a car, while on your bicycle)
Someone shouts encouragement from a vehicle
See a cat with 3+ kittens
Notice a custom license plate that you find funny
Eat more than 5,000 kcals in a single day
Try a new food and love it!
make it all the way to the Atlantic with at least 90% of the distance covered by bike/foot
Someone shouts verbal abuse from a vehicle
experience temperatures above 100°F (38°C)
Meet an online friend IRL
End the trip at a lower weight than you started (<65kg)
Try a new food and hate it!
Make it to the end without any further broken spokes
Poop somewhere that isn’t a toilet or portapotty
Three or more flat tires
Cycle >110 miles in one day
Cry
Meet a manifold user IRL (who I haven't met before)
Have animals access your food while camping
get invited to someone's church
Broken chain
Something that is not the whole bike gets stolen (wheel, lights, money, phone, etc)
3 people you meet join Manifold to participate in this market
End the trip at a higher weight than you started (>65kg)
Observe, divert route or delay because of a tornado
Divert or delay route due to wildfire and/or poor air quality due to smoke
See a bear
Someone you meet joins Manifold to bet on this market and is still active on the site (betting 3+ days/week) when all options resolve
10 or more flat tires (current running total: 5)
Get rash from poison oak or poison ivy
Get ill enough that you skip a day.
Get pulled over / stopped by police [while on bicycle]
Have bike stolen
Be hit by an automobile
Someone asks if you know Prince Harry
Buy a new bike
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
95
92
82
81
79
78
78
75
70
69
67
66
62
61
45
44
40
36
27
24
23
22
21
20
20
20
19
19
17
13
11
11
7
OptionProbability
Make the bread taste good
Don't eat anything for at least 48 hours before eating the bread
Stretch-and-fold after mixing, 3x every 30 min
Create indentation, fill with melted cheese and butter
Bake on upside-down sheet pan, covered with Dutch oven
Resolve this option YES while eating the bread
Donate the bread to a food pantry, homeless person, or someone else in need
Use sourdough instead of yeast
Sprinkle 3 grams of flaky sea salt on top of each loaf before the second bake
Watch the video
Autolyse 20 minutes
3 iterations of stretch-and-fold, at any time during the 14h waiting period. Minimum wait time between iterations 1 hour
Make a poolish 12 h ahead: 100 g flour + 100 g water + 0.8 g yeast (0.1 %). After it ferments, use this poolish in place of 100 g flour and 100 g water in the final dough.
Bake it with your best friend.
Add 50g honey
Swap 200ml water for milk
Incorporate a whole grain flour (buckwheat for example)
More steam! Either spritz with more water (preferably hot) or actually pour some boiling water in just before closing the lid.
Bake for an amount of minutes equal to the percent this market answer is at when it comes time to begin baking. (Maintain the ±3 minute tolerances and the 2:1 ratio of time before:after the water spritz.)
Use King Arthur Bread Flour instead of All-Purpose
Decompose it into infinite spheres, then a few parts per sphere, rotate the spheres by arccos(1/3), unite them and you will find 2 chilis (Banach-Tarski)
Let dough rise on counter only until double volume or 2h max, any time longer in fridge
Add lots of butter (0.2 ml per gram)
Use 50% whole grain flour
Ditch current process, do everything the same as the video
Toast the bread
Eat the bread while punching @realDonaldTrump in the face
Eat the bread while watching your mana balance steadily tick to (M)0
Throw the bread at a telescope
Add 50g sugar
Put a baking rack in the Dutch oven before putting the loaf in, raising the loaf off the floor and lofting it over a layer of air.
Replace all water spritz steps with a basting of extra virgin olive oil.
Use flour made from an unconventional grain e.g. barley, millet, oats, rye, sorghum, maize etc.
Assume the chili is not in the interval [0,1], square it for more chili, if it is in (0,1), take the square root, else (equals 0 or 1) add 1 to it.
Assume the chili is in the interval (0,1), square it for less chili, if it is in (1,infinity) take the square root, if it is in (-infinity,0) take the negative of the square of the of the chile, else (equals 0 or 1) subtract 1 from it.
Get your friends to help you make a batch ten times the size, but add a Pepper X (2.7M Scoville heat units) to the mixture
Add 1tsp of diastatic malt powder per 3cps of flour
replace 10% of flour with farina bona
Bake the bread into a fun shape, like a fish, or an octagon
While the bread is baking, tip every user who voted "Yes" on this option 25 Mana
Add 50g vital wheat gluten
Give ChatGPT your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake
Bread flour, 3x yeast, cut rise to ~3h
Use whole wheat to improve the nutrition of the bread
Add an amount of MSG equivalent to half the current salt content
Place small ice cubes between parchment and pot instead of water
Cook the bread with a rod/puck of aluminum foil (or similar) in the core in an attempt to conduct heat through the center of the bread, cooking it evenly like a doughnut.
Make all of the ingredients from scratch.
Add a pinch of sugar
Make the bread edible then throw it in
Buy bread from a michelin star restaurant.
Increase water by 50 g
Drink vodka while eating the bread
Cover bread with damp paper towel instead of initial water spritz. Rehydrate paper towel during 2nd spritz. Remove paper towel before placing on cooling rack.
Do FOLDED
Quit Manifold into the bread.
Kill the bread into Manifold.
Improve the bread
Start at 500F, drop to 450F and uncover half way through
Grind/powderize all salt used into a fine powder (with pestle & mortar or similar device)
it needs more salt
Add 1/2 cup yogurt to the bread and name the bread “gurt” while addressing it with “yo, gurt”.
Half yeast
Ship a piece of the bread to a random person.
Encourage people to participate in the market in good faith while making the bread
Add 2g? of baking soda
Let dough sit 48 hrs
Resolve this option NO while eating the bread
put butter into it
Mix half sodium/potassium chloride
Add a tablespoon of sugar
Bake for 5 fewer minutes
Bake one more minute
Mail the bread to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. Washington D.C.
Use tap water instead of fancy RO water
Frost it and put sprinkles on it to make it a birthday cake.
Add sawdust to increase the volume of the bread (but only like 10% sawdust by volume max. maybe 20% if it's good sawdust)
Add as many Jack Daniel's whiskey barrel smoking chips as feasible to the Dutch oven before baking, physically separating them from the bread as necessary while baking.
Eat the bread while sending all your mana to @realDonaldTrump
Bake the Manifold Crane into the Bread
Don't eat anything for at least 24 hours before eating the bread
Quadruple salt
Do all the changes in the top 5 open options by probability, excluding this option
Have someone sell the bread to you at an expensive price
Use lemonade instead of water.
Bake one fewer minute
Bake the cake while wearing a onesie.
Bake vegimite into it.
Bake for 5 more minutes
Replace salt with sugar
Eat the bread in front of the White House.
Bake vodka into it
Implement all options that resolved NO
Make the bread inedible then throw it out.
Replace flour with flowers
Throw the bread at @realDonaldTrump
Force Feed it to @realDonaldTrump
Make the bread great again
Cut the bread into the number of traders in the market slices.
Make naan bread, an easy-to-make bread
Only buy ingredients from 7/11.
Implementing every element listed below.
Put a non-lethal dose of any rat poison.
Just make donuts instead
Bake it in an easy bake kids oven
Think positive thoughts before tasting
Use a plastic baking sheet.
Eat the bread while betting yes on Cuomo on Manifold
Ditch all the steps. Just buy the bread from the supermarket
Double oven temperature
Halve oven temperature
Play classical music while baking
Light it on fire with birthday candles.
Bake it with a microwave
Eat the bread while betting yes on Mamdani on Manifold
Wear a suit while baking the cake.
Bake your social security number into it.
Bring it to Yemen and put a bomb in it
Bake America Great Again
Sacrifice a lamb
Add MAGA and a splash of Trump juice
Bake in a cat and a dog
Explode it:
Take a fat dump in the dough
Sit in dough 24 hrs
Let dough sit 24 hrs
Bake in rectangular tin
double yeast
halve salt
Double salt
Add 2tsp olive oil
Refrigerate dough instead of room temp wait
Do not mix salt and yeast in water together
Put fork in microwave
Don't eat anything for at least 12 hours before eating the bread
Add 2tbsp vanilla extract
Eat the bread with friends
Bake it in the country you were born in.
Eat the bread over the course of a week.
Bake the bread with love
92
90
88
85
85
80
72
70
70
67
66
65
64
63
62
62
59
58
52
52
52
51
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
47
47
46
42
42
41
41
40
38
37
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
32
31
31
28
27
26
26
24
24
24
23
22
20
20
20
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18
18
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17
16
16
15
15
14
14
14
13
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
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10
10
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
I visit Times Square
A friend from [city] comes to NYC and I see them
I explore the High Line
At least 20 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market
I attend an OBNYC meetup
I visit the New York Public Library
I visit the Empire State Building
I see a Broadway show
I visit the Statue of Liberty
I am at least moderately homesick
I meet someone I've met before at [company]
I see a rat (rattus norvegicus)
I eat a new york bagel
At least 50 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market
I explore Central Park
I really like the city
I gain the desire to move to NYC
I see a horse
I visit the Met
I visit the MoMA
I gain a romantic interest
I cry at some point
I get a good intuition for what a Kan extension is
I start using at least one "New York ism" in my regular speech
I lose 5 lbs
I visit the Guggenheim Museum
I visit the American Museum of Natural History
At least 100 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market
I kiss someone
I witness a man arguing passionately with no one
I meet someone I think is smarter than anyone I have ever met before
I hail a cab
I wish I had spent more time doing tourist-y things
Someone signs up primarily to bet in this market
I see at least 4 protests
I resolve a proposition in this market incorrectly
I eat at least 10 meals of plain white rice
My opinion of the United States changes significantly in valence
I eat a bagel with lox and cream cheese from Russ & Daughters
I gain at least 5lbs of weight
I eat something from a street cart that costs less than $5
I attend a pride parade
I play chess in a park
I actively participate in or actively attend a political rally or political protest
I explore Coney Island
I hail a cab in a way that could plausibly be mistaken for a nazi salute
I hear someone say "I'm walkin' here!" unironically
I regret making this market
I witness a violent crime
I solve a millennium problem
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
74
72
67
67
64
64
56
56
54
54
51
50
50
48
46
45
45
45
44
43
43
42
40
40
40
25
24
23
21
21
18
15
11
10
5
1
OptionProbability
Other
BDSM
Power couple
"Fun while it lasted"
Me + *Her*
Keynesian beauty contest
Spinning rapidly in opposite directions
Polyamory
Monogamy
Relationship Futarchy
Human + Robot
Enemies to Lovers
Co-conspirators
Philosophically incompatible
Conjoined twinks
Horizontal gene transfer
borgie
Relationship Anarchy
Platonic
Wild Lovers
Friends with Benefits
Relationship constitutional republic: people in it have systemically different levels of power and decision-making influence
Forever alone
Glucose guardian/splenda spender/sugar daddy
Hobbesian
Hive / Swarm / Superorganism
Traditional marriage of two cis straight White Christian vanilla people where the man "leads" and is 0-4 years older than the woman, with 2.5 kids (not counting any LGBTQIA+ ones) and a McMansion with 2.5 SUVs/trucks
Universal love
merged consciousness
Rationalussy
Vespertine
liking/reacting to even their most meaningless posts and comments on social media and prediction markets
Matriarchy
Labor Union
Socratic
One with an IPO (Intimate Partnership Offer)
Just being one helluva slut
Beard
Paradixical
Friends with Detriments
NP-complete
The Apprentice
Hell's Kitchen
Stockholm Syndrome
London Syndrome
Financial Domination
The Price is Right
Crows
Single by choice (except it's other people's choice)
Budget horse
assortative
Hubris quest
Fiends with benefits
Envenomation
Polygamy
Polyandry
Ethical Non-Monogamy
Unethical Non-Monogamy
Celibacy
Aromanticism
Solo poly
Open relationship
Polyfidelity
What's a "relationship"?
Reflexive
Symmetric
Transitive
Metamour
Socially enforced monogamy
Unreciprocated love
Asexual romance
Abusive
"This is my emotional support Ex"
FWB
Enemies-To-Lovers
Codependent
Transference
Monogamish
Voyeuristic
Love triangle
Romantic Mutual Suicide
Mutuals
Animalistic
Human + AI
parasocial
Polycule
Cuckold
Throuple
Boyce-Codd normal form
Aristotelian
Partners in crime, like Caroline Ellison and Sam Bankman-Fried
I like big butts and I cannot lie
I like big butts and I cannot tell the truth, how will you escape our dungeon
"I'll never admit to anyone that we met on Tinder"
15
8
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
[With five or more methods]
With their bare hands
With a weapon that the victim brought to the fight.
With a gadget or other ingenious device from Q
Other
With a hand gun
In the dark
With a long arm (a firearm larger than a pistol).
With a Walther PP or PPK handgun
By causing a structural collapse under them.
Slap
Drowning them
By pushing them off something high up
Sideswiping them with a car
Choking them
Silently, but deadly
With a named MMA submission (e.g., rear-naked choke, arm bar, kimura lock, etc.)
With a knife
Dropping something heavy on them
With electricity
By driving over them in a car
Biting
With a Kalashnikov Rifle (e.g. AK47)
Flambé /Fire
hurts someone's feelings (character in question must state this)
With a timed explosive device
By opening a hatch/airlock
With poison
Drone strike
With his cock (like a fighting Rooster; get yer minds outta that gutter)
Electrocution / With electricity
With a power tool normally used for construction
Lures them into a booby-trapped room
By calling in artillery or missile strike
Arranging for them to be attacked by an animal
With a piece of sporting equipment
Sonic weapon
With a chain
Flying/jump/drop kick
With a grenade
With a flamethrower
Punch to the groin
With a lazer based weapon
With a missle
Friendly fire (Bond unintentionally injures an ally)
With nanobots
Ejector seat
Big stick
With a sling shot
Crashing a plane into them
With a harpoon gun
With a crossbow
By pushing them into a spinning blade
By shaking them, not stirring them
By riding over them with a motorcycle
Killing them with kindness
Non-knife kitchen utensil
By running into them with a submarine
Rape
With microwaves
With a motherfucking snake on a motherfucking plane
Causing them to crash into a wall by painting a tunnel onto it
Piano where hitting a certain note causes it to explode but Bond plays the song incorrectly and then the villain shows him how to play it correctly
93
92
87
86
82
80
74
68
66
56
56
54
54
54
54
52
48
44
44
41
40
40
38
38
38
36
33
32
31
29
28
28
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
24
24
23
22
22
22
21
20
19
19
18
16
16
15
13
12
11
11
10
10
9
8
7
2
OptionProbability
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-12: GILLINGHAM vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League Cup)
2025-08-09: AFC WIMBLEDON vs LINCOLN (League One)
2025-08-16: READING vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League One)
2025-08-19: AFC WIMBLEDON vs CARDIFF (League One)
2025-08-23: AFC WIMBLEDON vs BARNSLEY (League One)
2025-08-30: BRADFORD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League One)
2025-09-06: BOLTON vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League One)
2025-09-13: AFC WIMBLEDON vs ROTHERHAM (League One)
2025-09-20: DONCASTER vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League One)
2025-09-27: AFC WIMBLEDON vs WYCOMBE (League One)
2025-08-01: LUTON vs AFC WIMBLEDON (League One)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-19: SUTTON UTD vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-22: AFC WIMBLEDON vs MILLWALL (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-26: SOUTHEND vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-26: SOUTHEND vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-26: SOUTHEND vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-26: SOUTHEND vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-07-26: SOUTHEND vs AFC WIMBLEDON (Friendlies Clubs)
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
None of the options submitted before the One Piece is revealed
Binks' Sake
A Poneglyph
Other
A single piece of currency (e.g. one coin)
An ancient tool which might not technically be a weapon.
The friends they made along the way
A giant pile of gold and jewels
An ancient weapon
Pineapples
A text, not written on a poneglyph
60
28
4
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
she like math, chess, speedcubing, and minecraft
she likes to say "how the fox are you doing"
she likes coding
she likes cabbage
she is friends with an imo member on discord
NULL (stays open to avoid market closure)
she likes tea
100
100
100
100
100
66
0
OptionProbability
Other
Max Headroom
The Office
Friends
Breaking Bad
Game of Thrones
77
6
5
4
3
3
OptionProbability
Other
Gpt-4 passes the bar exam
Accurate structure prediction of biomolecular interactions with AlphaFold 3
HuggingGPT: Solving ai tasks with chatgpt and its friends in hugging face
Lima: Less is more for alignment
44
26
12
9
9