Polymarket News

University of Chicago Finds AI Matches Prediction Market Accuracy

6 months ago

[READ DESCRIPTION] Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [Polymarket]

Nov 6, 11:25 PMAug 5, 10:59 PM

49%chance

384293029

OptionVotes

YES

102

Who was the Polymarket trader who made $400k betting on Maduro's ouster?

Jan 7, 4:13 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

166227047

OptionProbability

We don't find out by end of 2026

Other

Pete Hegseth (SecDef)

Barron Trump

Jorge Rodríguez (brother of Delcy Rodríguez)

Aurelio Perez-Lugones (Pentagon Contractor)

JD Vance (VP)

Stephen Miller (Homeland Security)

Marco Rubio (Sec State)

John Ratcliffe (CIA)

Nicolás Maduro (former Venezuelan President)

Eitan Levi (is a civilian associate within the extended personal network of a U.S. Delta Force member)

Amanda Rubio (daughter of Marco Rubio)

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Jul 22, 10:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.91%chance

3038499

OptionVotes

YES

12483

8011

When will Polymarket introduce fees?

Jun 16, 3:36 PMDec 31, 4:33 PM

1521682

OptionProbability

2025

2028 or later (or never)

2026

2027

Will Polymarket launch a stablecoin before 2027?

Jul 22, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.5%chance

2318351

OptionVotes

YES

17567

5700

What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?

Jan 29, 1:58 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

45073

OptionProbability

Over $8B

$4B-$6B

$2B-$4B

$6B-$8B

Under $2B

N/A

Will Polymarket allow US persons to trade on the 2026 midterms?

Mar 15, 5:43 AMNov 11, 5:59 AM

81.12%chance

203174

OptionVotes

YES

2073

482

Will Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?

Jul 30, 1:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

24.81%chance

212868

OptionVotes

YES

1741

574

Will Polymarket reach $100B in trading volume in 2027?

Aug 16, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.06%chance

122041

OptionVotes

YES

1127

887

Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?

Jan 7, 4:06 PMDec 10, 7:00 PM

65.4%chance

181943

OptionVotes

YES

1162

549

Will Kalshi beat Polymarket?

Sep 24, 4:51 PMSep 24, 4:25 PM

48.34%chance

231448

OptionVotes

YES

1034

967

Will Manifold be acquired by PolyMarket by end of 2030?

Jan 26, 4:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.51%chance

19672

OptionVotes

YES

211

137

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Prediction Markets
AI Modeling
Business
University of Chicago Finds AI Matches Prediction Market Accuracy
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6 months ago

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[READ DESCRIPTION] Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [Polymarket]

Who was the Polymarket trader who made $400k betting on Maduro's ouster?

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

When will Polymarket introduce fees?

Will Polymarket launch a stablecoin before 2027?

What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?

Will Polymarket allow US persons to trade on the 2026 midterms?

Will Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?

Will Polymarket reach $100B in trading volume in 2027?

Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?

Will Kalshi beat Polymarket?

Will Manifold be acquired by PolyMarket by end of 2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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