Power Five News
Prediction markets for Power Five
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
43%chance
8712384
OptionVotes
1151
869
OptionProbability
94
61
20
20
20
14
12
9
7
6
4
3
3
2
2
1
Will the Supreme Court overturn Griggs v. Duke Power Co.?
May 4, 2:33 AMMay 3, 3:59 AM
21.37%chance
183300
OptionVotes
1467
799
Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?
Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
6.06%chance
233123
OptionVotes
3255
688
Will Meloni's presidency last at least 3 consecutive years?
Mar 8, 10:05 AMOct 22, 9:59 PM
90.21%chance
13732
OptionVotes
531
38
Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)
Mar 19, 8:33 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
76.62%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1045
963
When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?
Nov 25, 10:02 PMDec 2, 11:59 PM
6201
OptionProbability
38
16
10
10
9
9
8
Will the Taliban's opium ban last for five more years?
Jul 17, 6:08 AMJul 17, 6:59 AM
51.07%chance
9101
OptionVotes
217
200
Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?
Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM
62.81%chance
585
OptionVotes
130
77
Will OpenAI implement any of the reform recommendations from The OpenAI Files by end of 2025?
Jun 19, 8:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.13%chance
333
OptionVotes
104
96
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%chance
122
OptionVotes
122
82