Preferred Sources News

Google Adds ‘Preferred Sources’ Tool to Let Users Rank Publishers

8 months ago

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.74%chance

9431761

OptionVotes

YES

4066

649

Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?

Feb 24, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7613567

OptionProbability

Adam Back

Hal Finney

Len Sassaman

Nick Szabo

Dorian Nakamoto

Paul Le Roux

Global CO2 emissions in 2050 (excluding land use)?

Jul 2, 4:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1811297

OptionProbability

40 - 49.99

10 - 19.99

0 - 9.99

30 - 39.99

20 - 29.99

50 - 59.99

Below 0

60 - 69.99

70 - 79.99

80 - 89.99

90+

OpenAI memory-using chatbot causes fatal domestic dispute by EOY2026?

Apr 17, 10:49 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

49.92%chance

205519

OptionVotes

YES

1002

998

Nuclear power production increases in USA 2023-2033

Oct 16, 7:47 AMJan 1, 5:01 AM

77.8%chance

445014

OptionVotes

YES

1648

694

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

Dec 18, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

263463

OptionVotes

YES

1956

520

When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?

Aug 20, 3:18 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

573409

OptionProbability

Before 2035

2035 - 2045

2045 - 2060

After the year 2060

Never - Another energy source will be preferred even if technically and commercially viable.

Other

Will there be more software developers employed in the United States in June 2026 than June 2025?

Jul 2, 8:15 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

69%chance

232728

OptionVotes

YES

1515

681

Will retrieval-augmented-generation (RAG) still be used in 2026?

Aug 12, 4:11 PMDec 13, 4:59 AM

84.45%chance

201679

OptionVotes

YES

2372

437

In two years time AI pornography will generate twice as much money as regular pornography.

Mar 13, 4:09 AMMar 13, 4:08 AM

12.09%chance

19529

OptionVotes

YES

270

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

53.68%chance

5220

OptionVotes

YES

1145

982

Will ASI (if it is created and also does not wipe out humanity) care about Morphological freedom?

Jul 28, 11:38 PMJan 1, 12:33 AM

48.88%chance

479

OptionVotes

YES

1023

978

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Aug 27, 2025
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Prediction markets for Preferred Sources

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Prediction markets for Preferred Sources

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?

Global CO2 emissions in 2050 (excluding land use)?

OpenAI memory-using chatbot causes fatal domestic dispute by EOY2026?

Nuclear power production increases in USA 2023-2033

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?

Will there be more software developers employed in the United States in June 2026 than June 2025?

Will retrieval-augmented-generation (RAG) still be used in 2026?

In two years time AI pornography will generate twice as much money as regular pornography.

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Will ASI (if it is created and also does not wipe out humanity) care about Morphological freedom?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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