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Prediction markets for Present Situation
Will Jaime Maussan's 'nonhuman beings' (2023) still be considered an 'elaborate hoax' by Wikipedia in 2030?
Dec 20, 3:28 AMJan 2, 3:59 AM
94.17%chance
1814147
OptionVotes
1736
912
[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?
Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
20.52%chance
3412373
OptionVotes
19679
5082
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
Dec 12, 6:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
34.98%chance
351217
OptionVotes
1111
912
Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?
Oct 4, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.89%chance
11779
OptionVotes
712
85
Will Manifold Staff rule that the POTUS is the President in this circumstance*?
Mar 11, 1:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.22%chance
3705
OptionVotes
1205
830
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2033?
Dec 23, 7:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
14.57%chance
9308
OptionVotes
278
178
Facebook's default group avatar configuration becomes more representative, by mid 2026
Feb 18, 8:46 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
52.09%chance
215
OptionVotes
104
96
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