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Will Jaime Maussan's 'nonhuman beings' (2023) still be considered an 'elaborate hoax' by Wikipedia in 2030?
Dec 20, 3:28 AMJan 2, 3:59 AM
94.17%chance
1814147
OptionVotes
1736
912
Will Manifold Staff rule that the POTUS is the President in this circumstance*?
Mar 11, 1:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.22%chance
3705
OptionVotes
1205
830
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2033?
Dec 23, 7:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
15.24%chance
10310
OptionVotes
266
180
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45%chance
10154
OptionVotes
111
90
Facebook's default group avatar configuration becomes more representative, by mid 2026
Feb 18, 8:46 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
50.05%chance
319
OptionVotes
100
100
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