Present Situation News
Prediction markets for Present Situation
Will Jaime Maussan's 'nonhuman beings' (2023) still be considered an 'elaborate hoax' by Wikipedia in 2030?
Dec 20, 3:28 AMJan 2, 3:59 AM
94.17%chance
1814147
OptionVotes
1736
912
Will the GTA VI leaker be publicly identified before GTA VI releases?
Aug 22, 6:26 AMNov 19, 11:59 PM
36.91%chance
221361
OptionVotes
1307
765
Will Manifold Staff rule that the POTUS is the President in this circumstance*?
Mar 11, 1:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.1%chance
4707
OptionVotes
1202
832
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2033?
Dec 23, 7:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
15.93%chance
11312
OptionVotes
255
182
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45%chance
11156
OptionVotes
111
90
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