Prime Day News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Prime Day
[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.55%chance
6521031
OptionVotes
5639
4686
Hipkins+Luxon+Peters all leaders on day of next election?
Dec 23, 6:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
79.27%chance
1210412
OptionVotes
3492
47
Will the Epstein letter to Nassar be proven to be real?
Dec 24, 4:42 AMJan 1, 4:41 AM
10.25%chance
189192
OptionVotes
2959
338
Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?
Jun 20, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
155857
OptionProbability
30
6
🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (31 DONE)
Jan 4, 4:14 AMJan 5, 3:40 AM
405167
OptionProbability
98
98
97
97
96
95
94
94
94
93
93
92
90
89
88
87
85
85
83
83
83
80
78
72
72
71
70
70
70
66
66
66
63
60
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
57
56
55
55
54
54
52
52
51
50
50
50
48
46
46
46
44
43
43
38
37
36
36
35
35
34
33
31
30
29
28
27
27
26
25
25
24
23
22
21
20
19
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
OptionProbability
100
98
95
92
92
92
87
76
76
76
76
76
76
67
66
50
45
34
24
10
10
8
5
4
1
0
Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?
Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM
73.23%chance
322544
OptionVotes
1704
240
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
75.94%chance
321986
OptionVotes
1679
610
Will Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election?
Jun 19, 8:41 PMAug 15, 11:59 PM
74.47%chance
8575
OptionVotes
1341
854
By which day will the Japanese Prime Minister apologize to China on the Taiwan issue?
Dec 11, 7:06 AMDec 11, 7:05 AM
14528
OptionProbability
57
32
11
Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?
Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.61%chance
17461
OptionVotes
1173
596
Andy Burnham's net approval rating after 100 days in office
Nov 14, 2:57 PMDec 29, 1:27 PM
44.36%chance
13309
OptionProbability
1082
880
Latest stories
Latest stories


