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Prediction markets for Prime Day
[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.03%chance
9642876
OptionVotes
6104
4379
Will the Epstein letter to Nassar be proven to be real?
Dec 24, 4:42 AMJan 1, 4:41 AM
10.25%chance
189192
OptionVotes
2959
338
Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?
Jun 20, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
156353
OptionProbability
29
6
🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (46 DONE)
Jan 4, 4:14 AMJan 5, 3:40 AM
456188
OptionProbability
98
98
98
97
97
97
97
97
97
96
95
95
95
94
93
89
87
86
85
85
83
83
81
78
77
77
77
76
76
76
75
75
72
72
72
70
70
70
66
66
66
65
65
62
61
61
59
59
57
54
52
51
50
49
47
46
45
44
42
41
40
39
38
38
37
36
36
35
34
33
32
31
30
29
28
27
27
26
25
25
24
23
22
21
20
19
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
OptionProbability
100
100
100
98
96
95
90
85
80
76
76
76
76
67
66
50
45
34
24
10
10
8
5
4
1
0
Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?
Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM
77.05%chance
342644
OptionVotes
1804
207
Will Judit Polgár become the next President of Hungary?
Jul 19, 10:52 PMMar 10, 11:59 PM
2%chance
192355
OptionVotes
890
16
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
72.71%chance
332036
OptionVotes
1534
660
Will Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election?
Jun 19, 8:41 PMAug 15, 11:59 PM
74.78%chance
8580
OptionVotes
1356
849
By which day will the Japanese Prime Minister apologize to China on the Taiwan issue?
Dec 11, 7:06 AMDec 11, 7:05 AM
15529
OptionProbability
57
32
11
Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?
Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.61%chance
17461
OptionVotes
1173
596
OptionVotes
131
76
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