Prime Day News
Prediction markets for Prime Day
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Jul 10, 9:36 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM
6020640
OptionProbability
60
12
10
9
8
1
0
0
Will the Epstein letter to Nassar be proven to be real?
Dec 24, 4:42 AMJan 1, 4:41 AM
7.79%chance
144784
OptionVotes
3441
291
Will the UK government mention quantum computing in an official policy speech within the next month?
Jan 30, 7:09 AMMar 2, 7:04 AM
50.09%chance
362014
OptionVotes
1965
1625
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
74.89%chance
311936
OptionVotes
1629
626
🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (1 DONE)
Jan 4, 4:14 AMJan 5, 3:40 AM
161915
OptionProbability
98
90
89
87
87
85
83
83
83
80
76
76
76
76
76
72
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
65
65
61
61
60
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
57
56
56
56
55
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
46
46
45
44
44
44
44
43
41
41
41
38
36
35
35
34
34
34
31
30
28
24
24
20
18
14
11
9
7
4
1
Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?
Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM
63.48%chance
261625
OptionVotes
1502
333
Will Trump admonish Poland for opening an investigation into the Epstein files?
Feb 3, 9:50 PMMar 4, 11:59 PM
17.02%chance
51505
OptionVotes
2208
453
[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.56%chance
171272
OptionVotes
6031
4424
Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?
Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.61%chance
17461
OptionVotes
1173
596
By which day will the Japanese Prime Minister apologize to China on the Taiwan issue?
Dec 11, 7:06 AMDec 11, 7:05 AM
10292
OptionProbability
55
33
11
Hipkins+Luxon+Peters all leaders on day of next election?
Dec 23, 6:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
75.65%chance
4119
OptionVotes
1062
978
Net approval rating of the next UK Prime Minister after 100 days in office
Nov 14, 2:57 PMDec 29, 1:27 PM
40.37%chance
543
OptionProbability
122
82
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