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Prediction markets for Private
Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?
Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
56.59%chance
1320593
OptionVotes
11224
8946
Will Trump authorize privateers (i.e. issue letters of marque & reprisal) to go after drug cartels?
Jan 28, 2:21 AMDec 26, 7:59 AM
15.81%chance
146373
OptionVotes
1754
84
Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science significantly improves the status quo?
Feb 5, 11:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
13.1%chance
233895
OptionVotes
1247
934
Will private astronauts land on the moon within 5 years of NASA astronauts or earlier?
Sep 3, 4:53 PMJan 10, 11:59 PM
72.41%chance
463276
OptionVotes
1590
614
Will the USPS be privatized by the end of Trump's term as president?
Dec 14, 5:30 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM
38.27%chance
293043
OptionVotes
1270
787
before 2026, will Telegram have given any government access to private messages of its users?
Aug 25, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
58.81%chance
282258
OptionVotes
1195
837
Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?
Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47.55%chance
5697
OptionVotes
1050
952
Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?
Mar 15, 4:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
62.13%chance
22565
OptionVotes
1221
835
Will Israel soft land a probe on the moon before the end of 2025? (Including private companies)
Jan 21, 2:15 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
27.4%chance
16336
OptionVotes
1173
917
Will the United States Postal Service be Privatized before the end of 2032?
Dec 17, 2:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
53.64%chance
10334
OptionVotes
1099
1069
Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?
Oct 25, 1:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50.1%chance
2102
OptionVotes
1002
998
OptionVotes
1048
954
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