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FX’s ‘Alien: Earth’ Hits 9 Million Viewers, Tops Hulu Charts

10 months ago

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.06%chance

109171214

OptionVotes

YES

81796

26531

Will Faustino Oro become world chess champion by 2040?

Jun 4, 3:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.47%chance

163704

OptionVotes

YES

2102

508

Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?

Feb 18, 9:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.43%chance

182103

OptionVotes

YES

107

Will "Tomas Bjartur: The Last Prodigy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 14, 4:30 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

6.07%chance

41793

OptionVotes

YES

2215

879

Which chess prodigy will have the highest Elo rating at the end of 2026?

Jan 15, 5:41 PMJan 1, 5:36 PM

9848

OptionProbability

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

Javokhir Sindarov

Vincent Keymer

Arjun Erigaisi

Gukesh D

Praggnanandhaa R

Alireza Firouzja

Hans Niemann

Nihal Sarin

Awonder Liang

When will Abhimanyu Mishra enter the world's top 10 in the live ratings?

Sep 10, 1:01 PMJan 1, 1:54 PM

3455

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2030

Not top 10 by EOY 2032

2031

2032

2026 (or 2025)

Did Kuina die from falling down the stairs?

Jan 10, 3:24 PMJan 17, 10:59 PM

84.09%chance

6149

OptionVotes

YES

230

Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa ever become World Chess Champion?

Apr 12, 2:30 PMAug 11, 6:59 AM

28.85%chance

491

OptionVotes

YES

195

105

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Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
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FX’s ‘Alien: Earth’ Hits 9 Million Viewers, Tops Hulu Charts
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10 months ago

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Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Will Faustino Oro become world chess champion by 2040?

Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?

Will "Tomas Bjartur: The Last Prodigy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Which chess prodigy will have the highest Elo rating at the end of 2026?

When will Abhimanyu Mishra enter the world's top 10 in the live ratings?

Did Kuina die from falling down the stairs?

Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa ever become World Chess Champion?

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