Prodigy News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Prodigy
Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
84.01%chance
181305889
OptionVotes
110682
29252
Will Faustino Oro become world chess champion by 2040?
Jun 4, 3:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
19.11%chance
163729
OptionVotes
2127
502
Will "Tomas Bjartur: The Last Prodigy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Apr 14, 4:30 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
6.07%chance
41793
OptionVotes
2215
879
When will Abhimanyu Mishra enter the world's top 10 in the live ratings?
Sep 10, 1:01 PMJan 1, 1:54 PM
41690
OptionProbability
61
7
7
7
7
5
5
1
Will Kenya get a chess international master within 1year?
Jun 24, 5:23 PMJun 24, 5:22 PM
14.96%chance
7876
OptionVotes
238
42
Which chess prodigy will have the highest Elo rating at the end of 2026?
Jan 15, 5:41 PMJan 1, 5:36 PM
9848
OptionProbability
25
19
14
13
8
7
7
3
3
3
Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
82.45%chance
3639
OptionVotes
198
63
Will I face a foul fate for the folly of foraging forays in 2026?
Jul 23, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.45%chance
11419
OptionVotes
218
46
OptionVotes
230
43
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa ever become World Chess Champion?
Apr 12, 2:30 PMAug 11, 6:59 AM
28.85%chance
491
OptionVotes
195
105
Latest stories
Latest stories