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Top stories

Grok Imagine Jumps to No. 2 on U.S. App Store

Grok Imagine Jumps to No. 2 on U.S. App Store

Authors

4

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Productivity

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.81%chance

459334149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2689

2519

By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?

May 15, 1:19 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

73.6%chance

18053773

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1970

1202

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

56.82%chance

5726974

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114717

87171

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.31%chance

5717669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13461

7504

Will a hybrid cultivated and plant-based meat product be commercially available in the US by 2025?

Mar 3, 1:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.89%chance

698353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2013

291

Will US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

Oct 7, 6:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.31%chance

345173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2013

732

Will any country implement a tax on meat products due to environmental concerns by the end of 2025? (M$300 subsidy)

Jul 23, 1:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.16%chance

552478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1508

1165

Will global peak oil production occur before 2031?

Jan 17, 1:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.22%chance

362415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

941

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Apr 5, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.87%chance

331384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2200

1771

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

76%chance

23912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

940

Fortune 500 company attributes >10% productivity gains to AI by Q2 2026?

Aug 8, 12:43 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

61.38%chance

8566

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

793

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

Sep 1, 4:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.87%chance

11473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1146

1064

Latest stories

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Aug 8, 2025
Aug 8, 2025
AI Products
AI
Grok Imagine Jumps to No. 2 on U.S. App Store
Authors
4
2 days ago

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