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Top stories

Apple Set for Sept. 9 iPhone 17 Debut With New Ultra-Thin Air Model

Apple Set for Sept. 9 iPhone 17 Debut With New Ultra-Thin Air Model

Authors

20

1 day ago

Prediction markets for ProMotion

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

53.76%chance

419642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11501

8468

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?

Aug 23, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.72%chance

738464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7531

3749

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9916

2845

Will it be revealed by 2030 that Bing Sydney's release was partially a way to promote AI safety?

Jun 14, 3:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.48%chance

422797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2145

852

Will the new $SHOGGOTH project promoted by Martin Shkreli end in a rug pull or other loss of customer funds by EOY 2030?

May 3, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81.2%chance

202153

OptionVotes

NO

YES

413

93

Will the Slamfest '99 lost media be found by the end of 2026? (Super Smash Bros promotion event)

Oct 21, 11:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.13%chance

7525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

657

Eliezer Yudkowsky wears fedora at in-person book promotion before 2026?

May 15, 2:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33%chance

16519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

454

176

Will Dana White (UFC fight promoter) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 3, 8:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.11%chance

6367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

121

Will Oscar xor I promote to USACO Plat in the 2025-26 season?

Apr 10, 12:36 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

25.34%chance

492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

Will Arketamine promote a greater anti-depressant effect than Esketamine?

Apr 17, 11:24 PMApr 24, 11:24 PM

56.27%chance

666

OptionVotes

YES

NO

946

945

Will the USL have promotion and relegation by 2030?

Mar 21, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.89%chance

253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will Claire Wang be promoted to Korvettenkapitän (corvette captain)?

Feb 8, 11:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 12, 2025
Aug 12, 2025
Tech
Apple Set for Sept. 9 iPhone 17 Debut With New Ultra-Thin Air Model
Authors
20
1 day ago

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