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Prediction markets for Proof of Reserves
OptionProbability
100
91
63
52
48
46
45
43
39
26
25
22
19
18
15
4
OptionVotes
979
844
When will an AI be able to write an OS from scratch, unsupervised, in <24hrs
May 6, 12:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
20838
OptionProbability
22
22
21
21
5
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
A second plane has hit the quantum computing! (By Oct. 2027)
Oct 16, 7:36 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM
20.95%chance
5168
OptionVotes
211
93
Will activities banned by the Antarctica Treaty take place before 2030?
Sep 12, 9:15 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
46.93%chance
856
OptionVotes
153
147
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