OptionProbability
Task 2 will be achieved (understand novels)
Task 6 will be achieved (write 10k lines of code)
Task 10 will be achieved (write formally verifiable proofs)
Task 1 will be achieved (understand a movie)
Task 3 will be achieved (write biographies)
Task 5 will be achieved (write legal briefs)
Task 4 will be achieved (video gaming)
Task 9 will be achieved (Nobel level science)
Miles will win the bet
Task 7 will be achieved (write Pulitzer calibre books)
Task 8 will be achieved (write Oscar level screenplays)
The bet will be annulled
Miles will win the bet by the end of 2026
Miles will win the bet by the end of 2025
92
91
88
84
81
80
65
42
35
30
29
22
3
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
8143
1543
2059
486
2153
949
188
54
1917
825
1450
891
382
47
212
72
140
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