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Prediction markets for Putin
(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?
Oct 24, 3:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6461670
OptionProbability
44
13
10
7
7
5
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
Aug 13, 1:00 PMAug 13, 10:59 PM
15.85%chance
20537906
OptionVotes
7643
1334
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?
Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.46%chance
14535624
OptionVotes
2977
1215
Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?
Mar 31, 9:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
19.84%chance
14826834
OptionVotes
7430
6053
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
Apr 30, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
79.93%chance
8819401
OptionVotes
1940
430
Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?
Aug 29, 8:41 PMOct 7, 8:59 PM
18.17%chance
14617860
OptionVotes
3467
1320
OptionVotes
3861
920
Will Vladimir Putin’s death be the result of an assassination?
Jun 15, 6:28 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
29.94%chance
15713515
OptionVotes
1554
1018
OptionVotes
1647
1345
OptionVotes
2001
1429
Will Ukraine take back control of Mariupol while Putin is in power?
May 3, 2:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.48%chance
181653
OptionVotes
352
28
Will Putin still be in power when Xi Jinping leaves power?
Mar 13, 3:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.13%chance
25902
OptionVotes
2254
1726
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