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Prediction markets for Quest
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030
Apr 8, 4:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
98.93%chance
157585755
OptionVotes
17551
1110
Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?
Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
70.54%chance
17534125
OptionVotes
14201
7469
OptionProbability
15
8
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
50
17
0
0
OptionProbability
84
67
67
62
42
42
39
39
38
34
24
15
10
8
1
1
OptionProbability
74
74
74
74
71
71
70
69
68
66
65
61
60
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
38
OptionVotes
201
150
Will Dragon Quest 13 feature character designs that resemble Akira Toriyama's?
Mar 8, 4:11 AMFeb 2, 1:29 PM
70.39%chance
9371
OptionVotes
337
182
Will Apple VR App Store revenue surpass Meta Quest Store revenues in 4 years?
Aug 1, 10:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
18.12%chance
6137
OptionVotes
193
38
If you complete the sharing quest daily, what % of the time do you actually share it?
Jan 7, 12:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
210
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