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Quest News

    Prediction markets for Quest

    This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030

    Apr 8, 4:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    98.93%chance
    157585755

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    17551

    1110

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    14201

    7469

    Relationship Style Stonks

    Mar 25, 9:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    5813173

    OptionProbability

    Other

    BDSM

    Power couple

    "Fun while it lasted"

    Me + *Her*

    Keynesian beauty contest

    Spinning rapidly in opposite directions

    Polyamory

    Monogamy

    Relationship Futarchy

    Human + Robot

    Enemies to Lovers

    Co-conspirators

    Philosophically incompatible

    Conjoined twinks

    Horizontal gene transfer

    borgie

    Relationship Anarchy

    Platonic

    Wild Lovers

    Friends with Benefits

    Relationship constitutional republic: people in it have systemically different levels of power and decision-making influence

    Forever alone

    Glucose guardian/splenda spender/sugar daddy

    Hive / Swarm / Superorganism

    Love triangle

    Traditional marriage of two cis straight White Christian vanilla people where the man "leads" and is 0-4 years older than the woman, with 2.5 kids (not counting any LGBTQIA+ ones) and a McMansion with 2.5 SUVs/trucks

    Universal love

    merged consciousness

    Rationalussy

    Vespertine

    liking/reacting to even their most meaningless posts and comments on social media and prediction markets

    Matriarchy

    Labor Union

    Socratic

    Partners in crime, like Caroline Ellison and Sam Bankman-Fried

    One with an IPO (Intimate Partnership Offer)

    Just being one helluva slut

    Beard

    Paradixical

    Friends with Detriments

    NP-complete

    "I'll never admit to anyone that we met on Tinder"

    Hell's Kitchen

    Stockholm Syndrome

    London Syndrome

    Financial Domination

    The Price is Right

    Crows

    Single by choice (except it's other people's choice)

    Budget horse

    assortative

    Hubris quest

    Fiends with benefits

    Envenomation

    Polygamy

    Polyandry

    Ethical Non-Monogamy

    Unethical Non-Monogamy

    Celibacy

    Aromanticism

    Solo poly

    Open relationship

    Polyfidelity

    What's a "relationship"?

    Reflexive

    Symmetric

    Transitive

    Metamour

    Socially enforced monogamy

    Unreciprocated love

    Asexual romance

    Abusive

    "This is my emotional support Ex"

    FWB

    Enemies-To-Lovers

    Codependent

    Transference

    Monogamish

    Voyeuristic

    Hobbesian

    Romantic Mutual Suicide

    Mutuals

    Animalistic

    Human + AI

    parasocial

    Polycule

    Cuckold

    Throuple

    Boyce-Codd normal form

    Aristotelian

    I like big butts and I cannot lie

    I like big butts and I cannot tell the truth, how will you escape our dungeon

    The Apprentice

    15

    8

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    When will the Quest 4 VR headset be released?

    Feb 20, 5:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    83203

    OptionProbability

    Before the end of 2027

    Before the end of 2026

    Before the end of 2024

    Before the end of 2025

    50

    17

    0

    0

    What will be true of the Meta Quest 4

    Feb 5, 11:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    232598

    OptionProbability

    OS-level eye-based 'pointer' on at least one model

    Multiple models of Quest 4 at release (e.g., Quest 4 Pro, Lite)

    Face capture cameras on all new models

    Weigh less than quest 3

    Option to buy without controllers

    Automatic IPD adjustment on at least one model

    Any of Quest 4 models cost >$1,000

    Will come in multiple color options

    Any of Quest 4 models cost < $450

    Hands as Controllers

    Varifocal displays

    Released by 2026-12-31

    External front-facing display

    Total pixel count greater than Apple vision Pro

    Released by 2024-12-31

    Released by 2025-12-31

    84

    67

    67

    62

    42

    42

    39

    39

    38

    34

    24

    15

    10

    8

    1

    1

    Which of these movies/TV series will I enjoy?

    Mar 4, 3:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    201301

    OptionProbability

    Trainspotting

    Prisoners

    Wolfwalkers

    Parasite

    Amadeus

    Nightcrawler

    Whiplash

    The Grand Budapest Hotel

    Moonrise Kingdom

    Silo

    Ice Road: Vengeance

    Blade Runner

    Godzilla Minus One

    The Creator

    The World's End

    Firefly Serenity

    Galaxy Quest

    Evolution

    Iron Man I

    The LOTR trilogy, extended editions

    10 Cloverfield Lane

    Avatar: The Way of Water

    74

    74

    74

    74

    71

    71

    70

    69

    68

    66

    65

    61

    60

    59

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    49

    38

    Will Oculus Quest 4 have eye tracking?

    Nov 2, 7:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
    72.89%chance
    14661

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    201

    150

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    337

    182

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    193

    38

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