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Prediction markets for Reform
OptionVotes
2072
590
Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?
Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM
24.87%chance
287920
OptionVotes
3511
1108
Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM
5.22%chance
227665
OptionVotes
4263
235
OptionVotes
1179
681
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
173157
OptionProbability
46
21
13
12
2
2
2
1
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Sep 4, 8:14 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
27.39%chance
192154
OptionVotes
1093
962
Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?
Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
38.09%chance
141245
OptionVotes
1275
784
Will we see significant software patent reform in the USA before 2030?
Jan 31, 6:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
27.92%chance
12608
OptionVotes
1017
983
Will the U.S. Senate be abolished or significantly reformed by 2100?
Sep 25, 11:44 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
50.48%chance
110
OptionVotes
1010
990
If the PM at the end of 2029 is Reform, what will net migration be in 2029?
Apr 22, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
If the PM at the end of 2032 is Reform, what will net migration be in 2032?
Apr 22, 2:11 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
If the PM at the end of 2031 is Reform, what will net migration be in 2031?
Apr 22, 2:10 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
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