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Prediction markets for Reform
OptionVotes
1233
983
Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM
18.03%chance
205817
OptionVotes
2132
469
Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?
Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM
55.4%chance
235695
OptionVotes
2181
1841
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
82.52%chance
242974
OptionVotes
2173
460
Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?
Sep 18, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.44%chance
41265
OptionVotes
265
38
Will the U.S. Senate be abolished or significantly reformed by 2050?
Sep 25, 11:44 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
35.26%chance
5833
OptionVotes
1355
738
Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?
Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
63.69%chance
10668
OptionVotes
1324
755
Will we see significant software patent reform in the USA before 2030?
Jan 31, 6:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
27.92%chance
12608
OptionVotes
1017
983
Great Hwan Empire or Proto-Finnic Holy Roman Khaganate reformation attempt?
Jul 8, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
45.17%chance
3226
OptionVotes
1102
908
OptionVotes
1091
917
Will China roll out major reforms in regards to increasing births before 2027?
Nov 29, 8:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50.99%chance
120
OptionVotes
1020
980
Will the U.S. Senate be abolished or significantly reformed by 2100?
Sep 25, 11:44 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
50.48%chance
110
OptionVotes
1010
990
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