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Prediction markets for Reform
OptionVotes
1548
787
Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?
Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM
25.42%chance
287870
OptionVotes
3461
1125
Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM
10.26%chance
217537
OptionVotes
2958
338
OptionVotes
1484
398
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
173157
OptionProbability
46
21
13
12
2
2
2
1
Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?
Sep 18, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.3%chance
41275
OptionVotes
255
39
Will we see significant software patent reform in the USA before 2030?
Jan 31, 6:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
27.92%chance
12608
OptionVotes
1017
983
Great Hwan Empire or Proto-Finnic Holy Roman Khaganate reformation attempt?
Jul 8, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
45%chance
4230
OptionVotes
1106
905
Will the U.S. Senate be abolished or significantly reformed by 2100?
Sep 25, 11:44 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
50.48%chance
110
OptionVotes
1010
990
If the PM at the end of 2031 is Reform, what will net migration be in 2031?
Apr 22, 2:10 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
If the PM at the end of 2029 is Reform, what will net migration be in 2029?
Apr 22, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
If the PM at the end of 2032 is Reform, what will net migration be in 2032?
Apr 22, 2:11 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
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