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Top stories

Billboard Names 2Baba's 'African Queen' Greatest Afrobeats Song

Billboard Names 2Baba's 'African Queen' Greatest Afrobeats Song

Authors

3

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Rema

Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?

Apr 5, 7:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.89%chance

334244272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2482

310

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

Jan 22, 6:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

95.83%chance

5136349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

40870

1162

Will any remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Oct 19, 8:49 PMOct 27, 6:59 AM

62.12%chance

12334209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1541

741

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

46.99%chance

12219688

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1240

919

♻️ 🧟 Will composting of human remains be available in Delaware by 2025?

Apr 7, 2:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

57.53%chance

2012694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3230

662

This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.

Oct 6, 7:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.14%chance

599061

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1032

735

Will Viktor Orban remain Hungary's prime minister after the 2026 elections?

Aug 7, 11:51 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

31.91%chance

618696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1726

320

Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?

Jun 25, 2:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74%chance

437735

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1687

593

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Dec 11, 4:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.85%chance

496687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1078

924

Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?

Sep 4, 6:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.45%chance

624749

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

862

[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

Jul 8, 2:52 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM

49.05%chance

184722

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

981

Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in charge at the end of his term?

Jan 26, 7:04 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

56.9%chance

312850

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

883

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Billboard Names 2Baba's 'African Queen' Greatest Afrobeats Song
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