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Prediction markets for Rema
Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Oct 19, 8:49 PMOct 27, 6:59 AM
12.26%chance
16152068
OptionVotes
2693
110
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM
95.12%chance
17237969
OptionVotes
4223
142
This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.
Oct 6, 7:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.17%chance
6710635
OptionVotes
983
790
By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
Dec 11, 4:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
81.52%chance
517087
OptionVotes
1478
812
OptionVotes
1420
636
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
Jul 8, 2:52 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM
57.56%chance
225089
OptionVotes
1165
859
Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in power at the end of his term?
Jan 26, 7:04 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
56.45%chance
424113
OptionVotes
1117
891
Is there a major headline discovery that still remains hidden in the world's oceans?
Apr 7, 9:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
88.78%chance
813413
OptionVotes
2609
1178
If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?
Mar 13, 5:32 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
20.03%chance
733334
OptionVotes
1583
952
Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?
Mar 2, 8:39 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM
53.46%chance
181320
OptionVotes
1072
933
OptionVotes
2138
512
OptionVotes
1042
877