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Prediction markets for Rema
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?
Apr 5, 7:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
97.06%chance
344277630
OptionVotes
5151
118
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?
Jan 22, 6:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
96.59%chance
5852328
OptionVotes
44357
1026
Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Oct 19, 8:49 PMOct 27, 6:59 AM
64.09%chance
12434443
OptionVotes
1511
791
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM
44.29%chance
12621698
OptionVotes
1188
981
♻️ 🧟 Will composting of human remains be available in Delaware by 2025?
Apr 7, 2:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
12.75%chance
2113899
OptionVotes
4328
96
Will Viktor Orban remain Hungary's prime minister after the 2026 elections?
Aug 7, 11:51 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM
45.76%chance
749460
OptionVotes
1461
488
This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.
Oct 6, 7:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51.14%chance
599061
OptionVotes
1032
735
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?
Jun 25, 2:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
70%chance
447835
OptionVotes
1528
655
By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
Dec 11, 4:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
81.52%chance
517087
OptionVotes
1478
812
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
Jul 8, 2:52 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM
58.63%chance
194930
OptionVotes
1191
840
OptionVotes
1203
777
Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in charge at the end of his term?
Jan 26, 7:04 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
63.72%chance
353057
OptionVotes
1304
768