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France, Germany, UK Warn Iran of UN Snapback Sanctions by End-August

3 days ago

N.C. Young's 💎 Crystallised 💎 New Year's Resolutions

Jan 2, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

41119801

OptionProbability

Stage a musical 🐉

Do something awesome that I wouldn’t have predicted in 2024 ❓

Submit PhD thesis 👨🏻‍⚕️

Host 5 parties 🎉

Contribute 3 major features to open-source projects 👨🏻‍💻

Pass the Army Combat Fitness Test 🏃🏻‍♂️‍➡️

Write 10 book reviews 📚

Reach 10000 views on Twitch & YouTube 🎥

Visit Edinburgh 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

Go on 20 dates 💌

Reach 200 Substack subscribers 📝

Make N.C.Y.BOT the most profitable non-house bot on Manifold 🤖

How many jelly beans are in this jar? Veritasium Challenge, Low Resolution

May 24, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

181104772

How many jelly beans are in this jar? Veritasium Challenge, High Resolution

May 27, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

14892264

Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?

Mar 31, 12:45 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

28.12%chance

9439617

OptionVotes

YES

1331

929

Polymarket moves away from UMA Resolutions in 2025

Oct 8, 11:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.32%chance

135208

OptionVotes

YES

1415

707

Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?

Jun 12, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.96%chance

61150

OptionVotes

YES

1563

640

Proof of stack market resolution

Dec 13, 7:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.37%chance

18888

OptionVotes

YES

133

100

Will my blog succeed in its inelegant New Year's resolution for 2025?

Jan 4, 12:34 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

74.29%chance

3700

OptionVotes

YES

1700

588

On resolution, will I think cash transfers to poor people have significant long-term improvements in Subjective Well Being? 10% chance to resolve each year

Nov 27, 11:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.2%chance

16546

OptionVotes

YES

988

961

Will I have a surprising market resolution before the end of 2026?

Apr 21, 2:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.2%chance

6290

OptionVotes

YES

1101

908

Will YouTube resolutely address the problem of clickbait thumbnails and video titles by 2029?

Mar 12, 3:15 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.61%chance

12236

OptionVotes

YES

1128

940

Legacy Market, See Description for Resolution Criteria

Mar 19, 3:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

50%chance

19150

OptionVotes

YES

1008

992

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Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Middle East
US Foreign Policy
Politics
France, Germany, UK Warn Iran of UN Snapback Sanctions by End-August
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3 days ago

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Prediction markets for Resolution

Prediction markets for Resolution

Prediction markets for Resolution

N.C. Young's 💎 Crystallised 💎 New Year's Resolutions

How many jelly beans are in this jar? Veritasium Challenge, Low Resolution

How many jelly beans are in this jar? Veritasium Challenge, High Resolution

Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?

Polymarket moves away from UMA Resolutions in 2025

Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?

Proof of stack market resolution

Will my blog succeed in its inelegant New Year's resolution for 2025?

On resolution, will I think cash transfers to poor people have significant long-term improvements in Subjective Well Being? 10% chance to resolve each year

Will I have a surprising market resolution before the end of 2026?

Will YouTube resolutely address the problem of clickbait thumbnails and video titles by 2029?

Legacy Market, See Description for Resolution Criteria

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram