Resolution News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Resolution
OptionProbability
91
76
70
58
53
52
45
32
19
16
14
6
How many jelly beans are in this jar? Veritasium Challenge, Low Resolution
May 24, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
181104772
How many jelly beans are in this jar? Veritasium Challenge, High Resolution
May 27, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
14892264
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Mar 31, 12:45 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
28.12%chance
9439617
OptionVotes
1331
929
OptionVotes
1415
707
Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?
Jun 12, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
70.96%chance
61150
OptionVotes
1563
640
OptionVotes
133
100
Will my blog succeed in its inelegant New Year's resolution for 2025?
Jan 4, 12:34 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
74.29%chance
3700
OptionVotes
1700
588
On resolution, will I think cash transfers to poor people have significant long-term improvements in Subjective Well Being? 10% chance to resolve each year
Nov 27, 11:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
80.2%chance
16546
OptionVotes
988
961
Will I have a surprising market resolution before the end of 2026?
Apr 21, 2:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.2%chance
6290
OptionVotes
1101
908
Will YouTube resolutely address the problem of clickbait thumbnails and video titles by 2029?
Mar 12, 3:15 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
21.61%chance
12236
OptionVotes
1128
940
OptionVotes
1008
992
Latest stories
Latest stories