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Prediction markets for Rule

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

48.71%chance

19782934

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8638

4393

Will Trump's use of IEEPA to enact tariffs without congress be ruled unlawful?

Mar 11, 1:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.19%chance

1619132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11470

8719

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.9%chance

2116066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17426

6658

Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?

Feb 22, 3:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

43.74%chance

8415595

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

725

If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?

Sep 19, 12:44 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

28.82%chance

5710723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1680

309

US Supreme Court rules for Trump in Trump v. Wilcox?

Jun 11, 2:25 PMDec 31, 3:21 PM

58.47%chance

13655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

843

Will Amazon be ruled to have illegally maintained a monopoly in the US before the end of 2029?

Oct 24, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.54%chance

17538

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

991

Will I restrict my food-buying behaviour in line with the rules of this market until the end of the year?

Jan 20, 2:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.97%chance

9518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

980

When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

Dec 27, 11:36 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

38.69%chance

15423

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1070

804

Will TWA 800 crash lawsuit Krick v. Raytheon (Case 1:22-cv-11032-AK) be ruled in favor of the plaintiffs?

Jun 1, 8:09 PMJun 2, 5:59 AM

47.04%chance

4170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1061

942

Pickleball tournament uses variable paddle rules for mixed doubles

Oct 1, 6:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

By when will Cursor agent be able to create "Cursor rules" according to the official docs?

Mar 24, 9:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

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