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Top stories

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

US Domestic Policy

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

Authors

12

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Rule

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

23.14%chance

20393182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9550

5953

Will Trump's use of IEEPA to enact tariffs without congress be ruled unlawful?

Mar 11, 1:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.91%chance

4244560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18250

5479

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Jan 1, 8:11 PMJun 30, 7:10 PM

25.98%chance

12026535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

942

Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?

Feb 22, 3:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.49%chance

8816876

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1170

673

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.9%chance

2116066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17426

6658

If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?

Sep 19, 12:44 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

33.39%chance

5710832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1600

365

[ACX 2026] How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

348038

OptionProbability

Mixed ruling

Tariffs unlawful

Tariffs lawful

Other ruling

No 2026 ruling

43

29

24

2

2

Will the Supreme Court hear a case disputing the 2028 Presidential Election, and how will they rule?

Nov 23, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

141583

OptionProbability

No, SCOTUS will rule on no such case

Yes, and the Republican side will win

Yes, and the Democratic side will win

66

18

16

Will TWA 800 crash lawsuit Krick v. Raytheon (Case 1:22-cv-11032-AK) be ruled in favor of the plaintiffs?

Jun 1, 8:09 PMJun 2, 5:59 AM

19.05%chance

51170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2061

485

Will Amazon be ruled to have illegally maintained a monopoly in the US before the end of 2029?

Oct 24, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.54%chance

17538

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

991

When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

Dec 27, 11:36 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

34.68%chance

16523

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1013

904

Pickleball tournament uses variable paddle rules for mixed doubles

Oct 1, 6:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Education
Politics
Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike
Authors
12
6 months ago

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