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Prediction markets for Russia
OptionProbability
61
22
10
6
1
1
OptionVotes
2841
1469
(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?
Oct 24, 3:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6562202
OptionProbability
44
13
10
7
6
5
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?
Nov 6, 4:14 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM
18.6%chance
8948759
OptionVotes
12640
6410
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?
Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.46%chance
14535624
OptionVotes
2977
1215
OptionVotes
221
45
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
Nov 11, 2:36 PMJun 1, 12:59 AM
57.2%chance
19029875
OptionVotes
1477
1087
Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?
Aug 29, 8:41 PMOct 7, 8:59 PM
18.44%chance
14817875
OptionVotes
3428
1329
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
Jun 11, 7:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
55.91%chance
627194
OptionVotes
1129
890
OptionVotes
1664
813
Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030
Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
25.05%chance
52982
OptionVotes
3409
1209
Will there be another poisoning of someone attributed to Russia in another country before the end of 2030?
Mar 26, 6:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
87.12%chance
30749
OptionVotes
2491
1874
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