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Comey Calls Taylor Swift Inspiration, Says Music Helps Him Cope With Trump

1 year ago

Ukraine Tests SpaceX Starlink Direct-to-Cell Tech; USAID Report, Kyivstar Nasdaq Debut, 3,100 Honduran Schools Connected

1 year ago

Gabbard Shutters Influence Center, Cuts 30% of ODNI for $700 Million Savings

US Domestic Policy

Washington DC

Politics

Gabbard Shutters Influence Center, Cuts 30% of ODNI for $700 Million Savings

1 year ago

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Jul 2, 9:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

683152226

OptionProbability

Ukraine ceding more than Crimea to Russia

No cease-fire of 6 months

Pre-2014: Crimea controlled by Ukraine

Pre-2022: Crimea controlled by Russia but not more

No Ukraine anymore

No Russia anymore

Will Trump visit Russia during his term?

Nov 10, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31%chance

529123226

OptionVotes

YES

2841

1469

(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?

Oct 24, 3:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6562202

OptionProbability

Other

Nikolai Patrushev

Mikhail Mishustin

Chaos - no clear controller of Moscow

Dmitry Medvedev

Aleksey Dyumin

Sergei Shoigu

Aleksandr Bortnikov

Sergey Naryshkin

Sergei Sobyanin

Ramzan Kadyrov

Alexey Navalny

Yulia Navalny

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Nov 6, 4:14 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

16.88%chance

8748408

OptionVotes

YES

13712

6179

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.46%chance

14535624

OptionVotes

YES

2977

1215

Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030?

May 11, 12:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

19.22%chance

4531607

OptionVotes

YES

205

Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

Nov 11, 2:36 PMJun 1, 12:59 AM

68.4%chance

18729495

OptionVotes

YES

1484

1245

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Aug 29, 8:41 PMOct 7, 8:59 PM

18.44%chance

14817875

OptionVotes

YES

3428

1329

Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?

Jun 11, 7:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.11%chance

586993

OptionVotes

YES

1046

961

Will Donald Trump ever visit Russia?

Jan 20, 1:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.7%chance

815594

OptionVotes

YES

1664

813

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.05%chance

52982

OptionVotes

YES

3409

1209

Will there be another poisoning of someone attributed to Russia in another country before the end of 2030?

Mar 26, 6:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

87.12%chance

30749

OptionVotes

YES

2491

1874

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How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Will Trump visit Russia during his term?

(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030?

Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?

Will Donald Trump ever visit Russia?

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Will there be another poisoning of someone attributed to Russia in another country before the end of 2030?

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