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Prediction markets for Russia
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
Jun 22, 11:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
9.22%chance
531364441
OptionVotes
2894
445
OptionProbability
78
7
6
6
3
1
OptionVotes
2248
1799
(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?
Oct 24, 3:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6361665
OptionProbability
44
13
10
7
7
5
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?
Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20%chance
14533187
OptionVotes
1464
1157
OptionVotes
206
48
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
Nov 11, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
58.49%chance
15022811
OptionVotes
1449
1124
Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?
Nov 6, 4:14 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM
45.6%chance
5722469
OptionVotes
9599
5159
Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?
Aug 29, 8:41 PMOct 7, 8:59 PM
23.51%chance
14017188
OptionVotes
2824
1487
Will Vladimir Putin lose political power in Russia before 2026?
Sep 7, 10:59 PMDec 30, 11:53 PM
10%chance
6112839
OptionVotes
2741
561
OptionVotes
1280
781
Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030
Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
46.34%chance
4200
OptionVotes
2091
1916
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