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Top stories

Trump Envoy Witkoff Meets Ukrainian Delegation in New York on Security Guarantees

US Foreign Policy

Trump Envoy Witkoff Meets Ukrainian Delegation in New York on Security Guarantees

Authors

21

11 months ago

India to Lift Russian Oil Imports Despite New 50% U.S. Tariffs

India to Lift Russian Oil Imports Despite New 50% U.S. Tariffs

Authors

16

11 months ago

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

Authors

16

11 months ago

Russia Says Forces Gain 600–700 km² Monthly in Ukraine Advance

Authors

4

11 months ago

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Authors

21

11 months ago

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

Authors

7

11 months ago

EU Weighs Expanding Ukraine Training Mission, Leaves Troop Deployments to Members

Authors

5

11 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Modi to Meet Xi in First China Visit in Seven Years Amid U.S. Tariff Rift

Authors

18

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Russian

Is a NATO-aligned or anti-Russian entity responsible for the Nord Stream attack?

Oct 1, 6:02 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

96.55%chance

15847147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13262

816

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Jun 6, 8:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

64.08%chance

12237779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2268

1941

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

43.62%chance

599696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

880

Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)

Jun 9, 4:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.15%chance

404010

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

975

Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?

Jan 16, 1:30 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

13%chance

403949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1702

961

Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2029

Jan 13, 5:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

23.22%chance

193796

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1819

550

Will any foreign military trainers in Ukraine be killed by Russian attacks?

Jun 5, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

68.1%chance

333461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1461

684

Will the Russian cancer vaccine work?

Dec 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.63%chance

343133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2239

447

will I speak conversational Russian by the time I graduate Minerva University in 2028

May 24, 6:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.1%chance

7633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

978

Will the full AD/CVD case on Russian palladium result in a duty order by Oct 31, 2026?

Feb 16, 5:57 PMOct 31, 5:57 PM

68.31%chance

3514

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1102

949

Will a Russian university make the top 50 before 2035?

Jan 15, 8:37 PMDec 29, 7:59 AM

38.08%chance

5325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

4157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

1011

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