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Prediction markets for Russian
Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)
Jun 6, 8:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
62.91%chance
12237892
OptionVotes
2306
1876
If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?
May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM
46.35%chance
609746
OptionVotes
1076
930
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
Jan 16, 1:30 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
19.34%chance
424081
OptionVotes
1171
1061
Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)
Jun 9, 4:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
56.15%chance
404010
OptionVotes
1010
975
OptionVotes
1819
550
Will any foreign military trainers in Ukraine be killed by Russian attacks?
Jun 5, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
67%chance
343479
OptionVotes
1425
702
OptionVotes
2179
459
Will China invade Taiwan before the end of Ukraine-Russian war?
Sep 2, 10:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
18%chance
372202
OptionVotes
1175
935
OptionVotes
1020
970
will I speak conversational Russian by the time I graduate Minerva University in 2028
May 24, 6:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51.1%chance
7633
OptionVotes
1022
978
Will a Russian university make the top 50 before 2035?
Jan 15, 8:37 PMDec 29, 7:59 AM
38.08%chance
5325
OptionVotes
1275
784
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%chance
4157
OptionVotes
1091
1011