Safe Pro News

4 months ago

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

26.43%chance

1518900

OptionVotes

YES

1669

599

Will Jose Luis Ricon obtain a provably safe guarantee that his child (#RiconBabby) won't be autistic?

Aug 4, 9:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.15%chance

52938

OptionVotes

YES

199

When will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release its first product?

Apr 13, 1:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8545

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2030 or later

2029

2025

Thinking Machines Lab releases product before Safe Superintelligence?

Aug 18, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.06%chance

13510

OptionVotes

YES

230

Will bioengineering plastic digesting microbes become profitable?

Dec 31, 2:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16432

OptionProbability

by the end of 2034

by the end of 2050

never

by the end of 2024

Conditional on safe AGI being developed, will there be significant mathematical results proving its safety properties?

Feb 23, 9:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

23.75%chance

7351

OptionVotes

YES

219

144

Will prioritizing corrigible AI produce safe results?

Mar 12, 8:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.79%chance

4170

OptionVotes

YES

1110

901

Lab protocol for safe TATP synthesis from fine-tuned LLM by 2025

Sep 18, 7:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.44%chance

887

OptionVotes

YES

233

140

If safe-ish ASI is created, what percentage of major unsolved physics problems will it solve within a year?

Aug 10, 11:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57%chance

879

OptionVotes

YES

115

Recommend markets for safe profit

Jan 8, 4:53 PM

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Mar 9, 8:51 PM

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Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Will Jose Luis Ricon obtain a provably safe guarantee that his child (#RiconBabby) won't be autistic?

When will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release its first product?

Thinking Machines Lab releases product before Safe Superintelligence?

Will bioengineering plastic digesting microbes become profitable?

Conditional on safe AGI being developed, will there be significant mathematical results proving its safety properties?

Will prioritizing corrigible AI produce safe results?

Lab protocol for safe TATP synthesis from fine-tuned LLM by 2025

If safe-ish ASI is created, what percentage of major unsolved physics problems will it solve within a year?

Recommend markets for safe profit

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Latest stories

Join our channels

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