Science News

Climate Change Fuels Europe’s Worst Wildfire Season on Record

1 year ago

Ancient DNA Study Pinpoints Horse Genes That Enabled Riding

Bio

Archeology

Science

Ancient DNA Study Pinpoints Horse Genes That Enabled Riding

1 year ago

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

5.21%chance

858583544

OptionVotes

YES

89425

8110

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Jun 9, 9:27 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

22.99%chance

511228

OptionVotes

YES

18303

5464

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Jan 8, 2:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

268762

OptionProbability

Never or after 1/1/2030

1/1/2028-12/31/2028

1/1/2029-12/31/2029

1/1/2027-12/31/2027

1/1/2026-12/31/2026

Before 2026

In Fall 2026, will US computer science departments find their enrollment halved compared to previous years?

Jul 20, 5:16 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

4.9%chance

255339

OptionVotes

YES

4512

232

Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science significantly improves the status quo?

Feb 5, 11:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11%chance

244158

OptionVotes

YES

1471

904

Will the Ontario Science Centre reopen at its 2024 location in the next 5 years?

Aug 3, 2:19 PMAug 11, 3:59 AM

14.58%chance

51425

OptionVotes

YES

2420

413

Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?

Aug 1, 4:44 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

16.29%chance

301318

OptionVotes

YES

1444

853

Frontier science theorem discovery fully formalized in proof assistant before 2028?

May 23, 6:26 AMDec 31, 9:44 AM

22.82%chance

111221

OptionVotes

YES

1842

547

Will mainstream science be using primarily Bayesian analysis by 2035?

Aug 14, 11:50 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

33.67%chance

251042

OptionVotes

YES

1029

974

Will a major science publication claim that humans have "cheated death" by 2040?

Mar 7, 3:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

16743

OptionVotes

YES

1243

893

Will science make human beings biologically immortal in future?

Nov 24, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.73%chance

18429

OptionVotes

YES

1226

948

Who will win a 2027 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences?

Oct 15, 2:17 PMOct 11, 6:00 AM

OptionProbability

Ariel Pakes

Steven T. Berry

Susan Athey

Ernst Fehr

Richard Blundell

David Autor

Matthew Rabin

Partha Dasgupta

Hal Varian

Janet Currie

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Bio
Archeology
Science
Ancient DNA Study Pinpoints Horse Genes That Enabled Riding
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Europe
Climate
Natural Disasters
Climate Change Fuels Europe’s Worst Wildfire Season on Record
Authors
13
1 year ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Science News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Science

Prediction markets for Science

Prediction markets for Science

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

In Fall 2026, will US computer science departments find their enrollment halved compared to previous years?

Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science significantly improves the status quo?

Will the Ontario Science Centre reopen at its 2024 location in the next 5 years?

Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?

Frontier science theorem discovery fully formalized in proof assistant before 2028?

Will mainstream science be using primarily Bayesian analysis by 2035?

Will a major science publication claim that humans have "cheated death" by 2040?

Will science make human beings biologically immortal in future?

Who will win a 2027 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram